Insight, analysis & opinion from Joe Paduda

Jun
10

Health care cost drivers, or, Here’s where you’re getting screwed

Forgive the vulgarity, but it seems apt when considering two articles just published in the venerable journal Health Affairs.

First, as physician practices consolidate, markets become more concentrated.   A study indicates orthopedic fees paid by private insurers are measurably higher in those markets with higher concentration.  As “Physician groups are growing larger in size and fewer in number”, expect this trend will affect other, currently-less-concentrated markets, thereby driving up the price of orthopedic services.

While the research by Alex Sun and Laurence Baker focused narrowly on knee arthroplasty, it’s likely an examination of other orthopedic procedures would yield the same finding.

A couple key quotes that should resonate among workers’ comp payers:

  • Our results suggest that the potential for reduced costs [due to larger physician groups] may be outweighed by providers’ ability to negotiate higher physician fees.
  • the ACA encourages further concentration to some degree by incentivizing physician groups to form ACOs to provide care. Again, our results suggest that the potential benefits of the formation of ACOs must be balanced against the potential for these organizations to negotiate higher physician fees.

I’d suggest that if private insurers are paying higher rates, workers comp payers are likely paying way higher rates.

Which is an excellent segue to the companion article on hospital markups (hat tip to Richard Krasner for getting to this a day before I did). The authors identified the 50 hospitals with the highest charge to cost ratios; this is a simple analysis comparing their chargemaster, or published price list, to Medicare’s assessment of their allowable costs. Here are a couple enlightening excerpts:

While most public and private health insurers do not use hospital charges to set their payment rates, uninsured patients are commonly asked to pay the full charges, and out-of-network patients and casualty and workers’ compensation insurers are often expected to pay a large portion of the full charges [emphasis added]

forty-nine (98 percent) are for profit, compared to 30 percent in the overall sample; one for-profit hospital system (Community Health Systems) operates half of the fifty hospitals with the highest markups (Exhibit 3). Hospital Corporation of America operates more than one-quarter of them.

Florida has 20 of the fifty hospitals with the highest markups; this is also a state with a fee schedule based on a percentage of “usual and customary” charges.

A notable finding; “markup varies substantially across medical services in the same hospital, and an overall hospital-level charge-to-cost ratio might not reflect the extent of markup for a specific patient. For example, among the fifty hospitals analyzed in this study, the average charge-to-cost ratio for anesthesiology is 112, for diagnostic radiology it is 15, and for nursery it is 3.”

What does this mean for you?

External forces are dramatically reshaping the health care delivery landscape; winners will be those payers who successfully adapt to those changes, not those who ignore them.


Jun
8

WC Rx Survey – early results are in…

We’ve finished collecting the data for CompPharma’s 12th (!) Annual Survey of Prescription Drug Management in Workers’ Comp;  working on compiling and analyzing the data now and expect to get the report out next week.

The survey uses both quantitative and qualitative questions; this enables us to track changes over time to key metrics including network penetration, mail order usage, generic efficiency, and compound drug growth.

The qualitative responses are really helpful in gaining an understanding of what’s keeping payers up at night, where they are seeing success, and how they view key issues.

Here are a few initial findings…

  • Drug management is viewed as more or much more important than other medical issues by 80% of respondents
  • 75% said drug costs will become more important over the next year
  • 2/3rds indicated compounds are the most concerning new issue in WC pharmacy

There’s a lot more analysis to be done as we dig into the qualitative responses. One key area will be the cost and quality control programs payers have implemented over the last 18 months and the results of those programs.

Once the final report is done and proofed, I’ll put up a link.

Public versions of the previous surveys are available free for download (no registration required) here.

 


Jun
5

Friday catch-up

What’s up?

Implementing health reform

Remember the big concern that employers would drop employee health insurance in response to ACA, and employees would lose coverage?  Looks like that has not happened. The latest data indicates that the number of employees enrolled in employer health insurance actually increased over the last two years albeit incrementally.

The 1.1 percent increase may look small, but when compared to the 11 percent drop in employer coverage seen from 2000 – 2012, it represents a considerable change in direction.

Of course, this may not continue; that said, so far the “problem” predicted by notables including Douglas Holtz-Eakin has yet to appear. (note – Holtz-Eakin’s original article is no longer available on the web)

There’s been much talk about early indications of health insurance premium changes for 2016.  Friend and colleague Bob Laszewski is of the opinion that the increases are “eye-popping”; Bob also notes that the rate changes posted to date are ONLY for those plans that will see increases above 10 percent.

Others note the story is much more nuanced.

Several caveats.

  • data is only for federally-run exchanges
  • the insurers requesting the big increases appear to insure a population that is older/sicker than average
  • data does not include increases of less than 10 percent
  • all rate increases are subject to regulatory review and approval; historically many of the requested increases have been cut during the review process

I’d humbly suggest that before you cite the report as showing ACA is a big success/abject failure, read the citations.

Work comp service providers 

Humana’s sale of Concentra is done. The $1.06 billion deal was completed Monday, with Select Medical and PE firm Welsh Carson partnering on the acquisition.

Welsh Carson, one of the early investors in the workers’ comp/occupational medicine market(s), sold Concentra to Humana back in 2010 for $770 million.  While the original strategy – based on using Concentra as an entry point/primary care provider for Humana’s group insurance  and other members – made a lot of sense at the time (there were major concerns about a flood of newly-insured people overwhelming primary care docs), the predictions have not borne out.

Concentra just changed leadership – and indications are the company is returning to its roots in occupational medicine.  Former COO Keith Newton just rejoined Concentra as President and CEO.  Newton left the company after it was acquired by Humana five years ago.  While the company’s website has yet to reflect the transition, expect to hear more from the nation’s largest occ med provider as it reaches out to past customers and markets.

Humana pushed Concentra to change its focus from occ med to family practice to support Humana’s group health and other insurance business.  As a result, most of the physicians hired over the last 5 years were family practice docs, not occ med physicians. In some markets the change was dramatic; a former Concentra exec noted a key southeastern market did not have any Board Certified Occ Med physicians that treated in clinic. 

Concentra’s traditional employer customers were, understandably, not enamored with the change; there’s a multi-pronged strategy in place to win them back.  On-site clinics are dropping non-occ med services and many clinics are eliminating primary care as well. Hiring is focused on recruiting board eligible and board certified Occ Med physicians. 

CorVel had a tough quarter; net income was down 35% to $5.6 million while revenues increased 1.7% to $122 million. The stock was down 11.7% on the news, but still carries a healthy PE ratio near 22.  CorVel indicated the drop in earnings was due to investments in the company’s provider network…

Competitors opine CorVel is “giving away” their TPA services in an apparent effort to capture new employer clients.  With profits increasingly derived from managed care services (which are much harder for employers to predict, track, audit, and report), this isn’t a unique strategy by any means.

FWIW a source indicated Sedgwick recently took the North Carolina Dept of Public Instruction business from CorVel.

Finally, an anonymous commenter said my report that OCCM is acquiring MedFocus was incorrect.  If any non-anonymous reader has information, please send it to me.  I will respect your confidentiality if you email me directly.  (I responded to the commenter via email, but s/he used a fake address).

 


Jun
4

A work comp exec’s MUST read

The health care “system’s” problems are even worse for worker’s comp.

That’s the conclusion I reached after I finally got around to finishing “Overkill“, Atul Gawande’s latest piece on the clustermess that is the American health care system.

The top takeaway is this – there is huge over-diagnosis of medical “problems” due to an over-reliance on fancy diagnostic technology, technology that far-too-often identifies physical abnormalities that have little to no effect on one’s health or functionality.

An excerpt makes the point:

Studies of adults with no back pain find that half or more have degenerative disk disease on imaging. Disk disease is a turtle—an abnormality that generally causes no harm. It’s different when a diseased disk compresses the spinal cord or nerve root enough to cause specific symptoms, such as pain or weakness along the affected nerve’s territory, typically the leg or the arm. In those situations, surgery is proved to be more effective than nonsurgical treatment. For someone without such symptoms, though, there is no evidence that surgery helps to reduce pain or to prevent problems. One study found that between 1997 and 2005 national health-care expenditures for back-pain patients increased by nearly two-thirds, yet population surveys revealed no improvement in the level of back pain reported by patients. [emphasis added]

More specific to workers’ comp, the good folks at Liberty Mutual’s Institute for Research found claimants with back pain with:

early or non-indicated MRIs led to a cascade of medical services in the six-month period post-MRI that included electromyography, nerve conduction testing, advanced imaging, injections or surgery.

These procedures often occurred soon after the MRI and were 17 to nearly 55 times more likely to occur than in similar claims without MRI.

“Being a highly sensitive test, MRI will quite often reveal common age-related changes that have no correlation to the anatomical source of the lower back pain,” said one of the researchers, Glenn S. Pransky, MD, Center for Disability Research, which is part of the Liberty Mutual Research Institute for Safety, in a statement.

According to Pransky, evidence-based practice guidelines for lower back pain recommend against early MRI except for “red flag” indications such as severe trauma, infection or cancer.

Dr. William Gaines, associate national medical director, Liberty Mutual Commercial Insurance Claims, said that the National Committee for Quality Assurance and the American Board of Internal Medicine have emphasized for years that overuse of imaging does not represent good care for low back pain.

What does this mean for you?

Our health care system is very, very good at finding physiological and anatomical “problems”.  Unfortunately, it is also very good at assuming those findings actually indicate an underlying and significant pathology.

 


Jun
3

Will Banjo be the social media app that revolutionizes insurance?

It sure looks to be the front runner now.

Banjo consolidates all social media feeds into a single platform in real time, then maps then on a geographic grid so users can see what is happening instantly anywhere.

It’s an “event-detection engine”.

Ok, that’s cool.

What’s really useful is Banjo also establishes a baseline activity ‘profile’ (my word, not theirs) and triggers an alert when one of 35 billion geographic grid cells (each about the same size as a soccer field) goes “abnormal”.  And, users can look back in time to see what was happening just before the triggering event, and monitor how that event unfolded…

Want to track a hurricane and damage therefrom?

See where a tornado is headed?

Know instantly when a violent incident erupts?

Follow a demonstration in Egypt’s Tahrir Square as it moves and evolves?

Know which of your band’s songs are getting the most shout-outs?

See if an insured walked away from a “supposedly debilitating crash”?

The app has been used successfully to do all that and more.  Founded by perhaps the most eclectic entrepreneur in high-tech, a high-school dropout, former NASCAR crew chief, Navy veteran, crime-scene investigation expert turned coder, Banjo is now being used by a diverse group of commercial enterprises who want/need to find out instantly about key events happening anywhere – or in very specific places – around the world.

According to Inc., Banjo:

shows only geolocated public posts made from mobile devices; those posts are drawn from what [CEO Damien] Patton calls a “world feed” he’s created by aggregating more than a dozen major social networks (and counting), from Twitter to Instagram to Russia’s VKontakte to China’s Weibo…with all of the public posts in [a small geographic] area appearing as pins on the map and as cards, complete with text, photos, and video, alongside it. All this in real time.

What does this mean for you?

Early adopters are going to know sooner so they can react faster, and possibly profit more.


Jun
2

Hospital prices are up. Way up.

And this means higher costs for those getting treatment outside of their core networks, and especially for work comp payers.

While Medicare reimbursement has remained pretty level, hospitals have been busy raising their list prices by more than 10 percent over the last couple of years. This doesn’t really affect most patients as their rates are negotiated by private insurers or set by CMS for Medicare recipients (or Medicaid on a state-specific basis).

Examples of procedures with the highest increases are:

  • Back and neck procedures except fusions – 22.5%
  • Medical backs – 17.5%
  • Most fractures – 17.3%

The impact is felt most directly by privately-insured patients seeking care outside of their network, as deductibles will almost certainly be much higher, as will copays and out-of-pocket limits.

For workers’ comp payers in states without DRG-or similarly-based fee schedules, the price increases are having even more of an impact. For example, employers in states such as Florida that base reimbursement on a percentage of charges are seeing significant jumps in the prices paid for facility-based care.

But that’s only part of the issue.  There’s a “multiplicative” effect as well.  With more and more physician practices bought out by health systems, and more and more docs working for those health systems, their services are increasingly billed as facility codes which tend to be higher and include costs that don’t show up on physician bills.

Medicare is doing an admirable job holding down costs while increasing its focus on quality.

That said, there are some pretty ugly side effects.

As facilities scramble to increase their quality ratings; staff is evaluated on “patient satisfaction” which is a pretty iffy metric. The understaffing of inner-city emergency rooms is gaining more attention, as well it should. These are just two of the unintended consequences of what are dramatic and often wrenching changes in the American health care system.

What does this mean for you?

Higher facility costs for comp payers means they will need to focus even more tightly on the amount paid, and not the network discount for facility care.


May
29

Friday catch-up

Gotta love the start of summer; hope your weekend is going to be filled with fun and family.

But before you go, here’s what’s been going on over the past couple of weeks.

First, your morning outrage...here’s the latest from the world of “how do we suck as much profit from employers and taxpayers as possible”…thanks to a colleague at PBM Helios.

Drug costs

A report from AARP indicates generic drug prices, which have been falling for years, leveled off somewhat in 2013.  Couple caveats – the data is for drugs commonly used by seniors, and the data is 18 months old. Among drugs relevant to workers comp:

  • anticonvulsant prices increased 17.2% in 2013;
  • muscle relaxants decreased 0.7%;
  • opioid analgesics dropped 8.3%; and
  • NSAIDs were down 8.4%.

Two other data points worthy of consideration.

  • CompPharma is currently conducting the 12th annual survey of prescription drug management in workers’ comp; the top issue named by respondents so far is drug price increases (a major change from the historical focus on opioids)
  • All the major PBM drug trend surveys released to date have identified drug price increases as a major issue.

Health reform implementation

The latest data indicates the percentage of Americans 18 – 64 without health insurance decreased to 16.7% in 2014, down from 20.4% in 2013.

According to California Healthline;

The uninsured rate for U.S. adults under age 65 in [Medicaid] expansion states during the study period was 11.5%, a 3.4 percentage-point drop from 2013. By contrast, the uninsured rate for U.S. adults under age 65 in non-expansion states was 16.3% during the first nine months of last year, a 2.1 percentage-point decrease.

There’s a LOT of useless and some outright harmful medical care delivered every day – as has been well documented by many.  A highly readable and compelling analysis comes from Dr Atul Gawande in a recent New Yorker; thanks to multiple readers and friends for the heads up.

Macro factors

Bad news came this morning; the economy actually shrank by 0.7% in Q1 2015; however that comes on the heels of a 5% jump in the latter half of 2014.  Projections for the rest of the year look modest but positive; it also looks like unemployment may drop to 5% by the end of 2015; a major improvement over the 8% we saw two years ago.

Research

Thanks to NCCI for updating our understanding of claim lag, the last broad-based analysis was the Glen Pitruzzello-authored study by the Hartford.

Deals

Summit’s acquisition of Paradigm is said to be close to completion.  While we don’t know pricing or details, expect the transaction will be in the $500 million range as Paradigm’s EBITDA is rumored to be around $60 million.

Finally, word from multiple sources indicate imaging network company MedFocus has been bought by OneCall Care Management.  MedFocus isn’t a major player with work comp revenues in the $25 million range, but the transaction does further limit the number of vendors available to serve comp payers.

 


May
28

Walking to work

One of the less significant ways tech will change workers’ comp is prostheses.  Alluded to in the introductory post to this occasional series, there are myriad issues that will affect workers’ comp due to new “high mobility” prostheses (my term).

Parker Hannifan is just one of the companies working on your claimant’s next prostheses; there model is the Indego. Currently in clinical trials at Shepherd, Rusk, Chicago Institute of Rehab among other elite rehab facilities, Indego has developed an exoskeleton that enables paraplegics to walk.

Indego20device

photo Craig Hospital

The Indego weighs a mere 26 pounds, has a battery pack that lasts 4 hours and can be readily switched out. According to the website “The user controls his movement by leaning forward to walk forward and returning to an upright position to stop walking. To sit, the user leans backward, and Indego dampens its motors until the user is safely seated.”

A related field is neuroprosthetics – small, powered devices that connect to the brain to simulate or stimulate sensory organs or muscles. Visual, auditory, and muscular control are three areas with a wealth of research.

One area with deep significance for comp involves orthoses for traumatic brain injury patients to control limb movement by reading neurons in the brain, calculating limb trajectory, and signaling the muscles and nerves needed to create movement.

These devices are likely going to be very costly, require ongoing expert maintenance and support, and likely replacement over time.

They will also enable paraplegics to walk, brain-damaged individuals to lead a more normal life, and some day, blinded people to see.

As medical care improves to the point that grievously injured patients actually survive trauma that would have killed them just a decade ago, there will be more and more candidates for these devices in future years.

What does this mean for you?

Very good news indeed for patients formerly consigned to a life of many limits; moral, ethical, and financial dilemmas and decisions for employers, regulators, and insurers.


May
27

Adjusters, management, and priorities

During a conversation with an industry executive this morning I was reminded of the rather different perspectives, priorities, and incentives for adjusters and managers.

Faced with a virtual pile of incoming mail, messages, bills, documents, and voice mail, adjusters are tasked with determining compensability, closing claims, resolving litigation, getting claimants treated as quickly as possible – but only for covered services, dealing with vendors, catching fraud, setting and managing reserves, taking CEUS, communicating with employers, spouses, lawyers, and judges, approving drugs and medical services, directing to network providers, setting IMEs…the list is both endless and growing.

This while being measured on claim closure rates, three-point contacts (!?), reserving accuracy, litigation rates, network penetration, claimant satisfaction, and whatever the most recent metric du jour happens to be.

Home office folks have somewhat different priorities; managed care execs are evaluated based on network penetration, “savings” rates, staff productivity for bill review and medical management and various other process measures.

While there’s some alignment between the field and home office, what’s really important to one may be much less lower on the priority list for their counterpart.

For example, field folks’ priorities are to get claims moved along, claimants treated/examined/assessed, claims closed, reserves set.

A conflict can, and often does, arise when a network provider can’t see a claimant for a couple weeks, but another treater has an opening tomorrow. What’s the adjuster to do? In most cases, they will go for the quicker appointment as it moves the claim along more quickly.  This holds true for IME providers, PTs, dentists, you name it.  Time is of the essence.

The conflict here is obvious and happens all day every day, forcing adjusters to balance what are conflicting priorities in what can be a no-win situation.

What does this mean for you?

Clear priorities known and understood by all affected parties can remove a lot of unnecessary stress while eliminating much unneeded back-and-forth.


Joe Paduda is the principal of Health Strategy Associates

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