Jun
24

Quick update on OneCall

Summer isn’t off to a sunny start for OneCall.

Two good-sized customers are moving their business to other suppliers. Sources indicate concerns over OCCM’s financial situation led to the switch to other vendors for transportation, PT, imaging, DME and home health.

Sources indicate MTI America, VGM HomeLink, MedRisk, HomeCare Connect, and Paradigm are among the winners. (MTI and MedRisk are HSA consulting clients)

Other customers have been in discussions with OneCall about ensuring payments for treating providers are made on a timely basis.

OneCall was carrying just under $2 billion in debt at the end of the first quarter; that has increased due to the refinancing of a big chunk of debt earlier this year. Despite the refi, debt service is eating up most of OneCall’s cash flow, dollars that would otherwise go to internal needs such as Polaris – the company’s name for their new IT platform..

The refi terms allow OneCall to not pay a portion of the interest on the new debt. Instead, the deferred interest becomes part of the debt owed. So, sort of like credit card debt, if you don’t pay the interest owed, you end up owing interest on the unpaid interest.

That saves cash over the near term, but increases the company’s total debt load and the cost of paying off that debt just gets bigger every month.

I’m hearing the customer-facing part of Polaris is gaining fans, but development of connections to and replacement of legacy internal systems isn’t keeping pace. This may be part of any cash-flow problem; Polaris was supposed to reduce headcount by replacing people with systems. If customer-facing staff hasn’t been reduced and customer service levels haven’t gotten better, OneCall has a couple challenges, namely:

  • continuing to pay for Polaris development, while
  • keeping more people on payroll, in an effort to
  • keep customer satisfaction at some reasonable level and
  • generate enough cash flow to pay the bills.

I’ve asked OneCall for their comments, but the company has been quite unresponsive of late so don’t expect anything substantive.

 


Jun
19

Marketing is NOT sales support

Marketing is not sales support.  If proposal writing and RFP responses are in “marketing”, you aren’t doing “marketing”.

Selling is one-to-one. Selling is finding out what that individual’s views, perspectives, challenges, biases, needs, opinions, fears and desires are. It is NOT “selling”, rather it is finding out what problem that person has and what she wants to buy, then packaging your offering so it addresses that individual’s needs and situation.

Marketing is one-to-many. It is doing the research to identify market segments, and those segments’ needs, wants, fears, and buying processes. It is developing and modifying products and services so they specifically address general and specific needs. It is promoting those products and services so potential buyers are aware of them and see the applicability to their situation.

Marketing can be squishy; it can be hard to assess the ROI on a marketing campaign or investment.

Work comp services execs often think marketing is easy, simple, and they are good at it. Hey, they can write an article, press release or “white paper” or give a speech or design a booth.

While a few execs understand Marketing, most do not.

And that is precisely why work comp services is a highly commoditized industry where price is critical. 

What does this mean for you?

Marketing’s budget should be 2 percent of your revenues, and led by someone who really knows the subject.


Jun
11

The Arrogance of Ignorance

Your systems, savings, capabilities, and results are better than the competition.

You know that because, well, it’s true. You’ve seen reports that show it’s true, been told that by your bosses, or some independent third party said so.

I cannot count the number of times I’ve heard “we save X to Y points more than the competition.” – or something just like that. One problem – your competitors believe the same thing. All of them. They’re wrong…right?

I heard it again at the National Council of Self Insurers’ meeting in Orlando yesterday – several times. When I demurred, my demurrals were rejected out of hand.

Allow me to burst your bubble.

Utilization review should be used to ensure the medical care delivered to patients is the right care, for that specific patient, by the right provider. In most cases, it is nothing of the sort. Rather, it is done to comply with regulations, generate revenue and is almost never integrated into billing.

Bill review is merely applying relevant regulations and fee schedule edits, sending bills to network vendors, and adding in some high-cost bill audits and perhaps retro UR and clinical audit.

Network selection doesn’t account for lower cost providers – it is based on discounts not net costs.

This is really basic stuff – and compared to what happens in group health it barely scratches the surface. Fact is medical providers are way more sophisticated than payers when it comes to coding, billing, and revenue management. There’s an entire industry devoted to revenue maximization for workers’ comp.

Data point – work comp represents about 1 percent of a health system’s revenue, but more than 10% of profits.

If you’re doing such a great job managing medical, why are providers making so much money off your patients?

With the exception of the Workers’ Comp Trust of Connecticut – I’ve NEVER seen a workers’ comp medical management program worthy of an A grade. In fact, the metrics most to evaluate program results are prima facie evidence the programs can’t be succeeding. Metrics like:

  • savings below billed charges
  • savings below fee schedule
  • turn around time
  • UR denials
  • network penetration

are all process – not outcome – measures. And they measure the wrong things.

The right metrics include:

  • medical cost by claim – case mix adjusted
  • drug cost per claim
  • time from date of injury to correct diagnosis
  • disability duration – case mix adjusted – by provider and employer location

How am I so confident you’re not as good as you think?

I’ve audited dozens of programs and seen crappy data, inaccurate reporting, useless metrics, and poor analytical methodologies in almost all.

A fundamental problem in work comp medical management is complacency and an unwillingness to ask and demand answers to tough questions, borne out of today’s low medical expenses and continually dropping premiums. The result is many have grown fat and happy.

What does this mean for you?

You can do better.  A lot better.

 


Jun
7

A reminder – work comp is a tiny part of medical care

Work comp medical expenses total around $30 billion.  Total US medical expenses amount to $3.6 TRILLION.

Clearly work comp is a minuscule part of the healthcare world; less than one percent.

This matters because health care providers – doctors, therapists, facilities, clinics – see very few work comp patients.  While some providers tend to see more work comp patients than others, it’s rare indeed for a provider’s work comp patient population to amount to more than 10 percent overall.

Think about this in terms of regulations, network relationships, systems integration, clinical guidelines and UR requirements.

One patient out of a hundred – that’s how many work comp patients the average physical therapist, prescribing physician, pharmacy or clinic sees. When regulators require prescribers comply with a new formulary or UR prior authorization requirements, they are asking the provider, and the office and clinical staff that work with that provider to:

  • learn something new; and
  • develop, implement, maintain, and potentially modify new workflows and communications protocols and standards.

How would this work out in your world?

In your work, how much of a hassle would it be if one out of every hundred customers – or even one out of 25 – required unique and special handling, different processes, and a failure to comply with those requirements could lead to some type of legal sanction or unhappy customer?

I would suggest that many regulators don’t factor in the obvious challenge inherent in getting clinicians to change their practices for one out of every hundred patients.

Yes, regulators need to ensure regulations meet legislative intent, but often regulators can influence that intent, educate legislators, and if nothing else work diligently to hopefully reduce the potential friction inherent in changed regulations.

Unfortunately, this often isn’t the case. As a result, conflicts arise, conflicts caused by misunderstanding or misinterpretation, or just plain ignorance.  These conflicts may well lead to increased litigation, angry patients, and/or delays in patient care.

It can also lead to providers dropping out of the workers’ comp system, as the hassle just isn’t worth it.

What does this mean for you?

A bit of perspective is always helpful.  It is also essential.

As my late father used to remind me quite often, better to do it right from the start than have to fix it later.

 


Jun
4

The next recession – Not if, but when, and how bad will it be?

This month marks the second longest economic expansion in US history; it’s been a decade since things turned around back in June 2009.

Like all expansions, this one is going to end – and there’s mounting evidence it will happen soon.

The latest Fed forecast shows GDP growth slumping to 1.3% this quarter, driven in large part by a drop-off in commercial and industrial construction.

Without Congressional action, we will see another government shutdown this fall; the Treasury will run out of money by early November. There’s hope the Republican-controlled Senate and Democratic-controlled House will reach some sort of deal. Whether an increasingly-volatile President – who has been public about his lack of concern about the possibility of the US defaulting on its debt – will approve it is anyone’s guess.

Absent a deal, $125 billion in Federal spending will be cut immediately, thanks to the 2011 sequestration bill.

Manufacturing growth is slowing. New data shows the U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index is at its lowest point since the last recession. From Bloomberg:

customers were postponing orders due to growing uncertainty about the outlook. Similarly, new business from abroad contracted by the quickest pace since April 2016 to the first decline since July 2018.

One industry that’s hurting is autos. The president’s latest moves to slap tariffs on Mexico will increase US consumer and business costs alike; the auto industry is particularly vulnerable as Mexico supplies a lot of car parts – and 2.6 million cars – to the US. Analysts project the tariffs would add about $1,300 to the price of an average car. If Trump keeps his promise to continue to raise tariffs, that will jump to $10,000 on Mexican-made autos and trucks by October.

This has caused so much consternation amongst Congressional Republicans that they are actually considering going against Trump…

There’s a lot more data out there on this – the inverted yield curve is perhaps the one most worrying to economists.

So, we can fix this, right. Well, it’s going to be a lot harder to dig out of the next recession than it was to crawl out of the Great Recession. It’s increasingly likely the Fed will slash interest rates this year in an effort to keep the economy growing. Of course, rates are already near historic lows and the Fed has few resources left to buy back debt in “quantitative easing” without risking rising inflation…the tools available to the Fed to reverse a downturn are few and may be overmatched.

What does this mean for you?

It’s going to happen. When it does, worker’s comp payers will see a downtick in claims frequency but likely a rise in claims duration.

From here, my take is the next recession is going to be long and deep; we just don’t have the tools to claw our way out of it.


May
24

Research Roundup

In which I drop a “Nerd Bomb” into your email folder…

Here’s this week’s research-that-impacts-you I found compelling…

From WCRI, a report analyzing the relationship between prices for medical services and patient outcomes. More specifically, authors Olesya Fomenko and Bogdan Savych and ask the question “What happens to worker outcomes when prices increase or decrease?”

The authors used a comparison of workers’ comp medical prices for common office visits to group health, with the latter used as a proxy for adequate or benchmark compensation (my words, not the authors’.)

Key takeaways:

  • Medical prices are “not strongly related to measures of recovery of physical health and functioning, speed and likelihood of return to work, or duration of temporary disability.”
  • But…as all healthcare is local, there are some unexpected (at least to me) findings.
    • in areas where WC pays less than group health, raising WC prices results in more care delivered to WC patients, increased temporary disability (TD), but no significant change in access to care – and no impact on outcomes
    • where WC pays MORE than group, increasing WC prices results in more care delivered to WC patient, less concern about access – but NO meaningful impact on outcomes

Changing bad health behaviors

If you’re using financial incentives to change people’s health behaviors, you may be disappointed. Research published in NEJM indicates support from loved ones and clinical support are  more effective.

Pharmacy costs

Lost in the mostly-incoherent squabbling about drug prices is this: Net prices – that is, what insurers/healthplans/employers/payers paid AFTER rebates – for “traditional” drugs DROPPED last year (specialty med prices increased marginally).

Dr Adam Fein’s analysis of PBM trend rates showed the overall increase across all PBMs was in the low single digits; individual PBM results varied somewhat.

I’d encourage all to read Dr Fein’s post – and to subscribe to Drug Channels.

Speaking of drugs, the American Pain Society – the fine folks partially funded by opioid manufacturers looks to be filing for bankruptcy. 

Finally, how important is clinical care to a person’s overall health?

The answer – not much.

Your family income, environment, whether you take care of yourself – all these are WAAAAAY more important than the quality of care you get.

Which ties in pretty well to the research above about health behaviors.

What does this mean for you?

Get out and take a walk, and lift some weights too!

Note – this is me getting some exercise while on the boy’s annual mountain bike trip in Moab, Utah. Fortunately the “healthy behavior” of riding my bike a lot wasn’t outweighed by my inability to avoid crashing a few times…


May
21

NCCI AIS research review – Comparing work comp to group health

Barry Lipton PhD did a quick review of a few ways work comp and group health differ – and how they are sometimes comparable.

The biggest difference is that workers’ comp is very focused on return to work, and more broadly, we care more about functionality.  In group health, not so much.

Differences – other than the obvious e.g. WC=ortho and trauma; group health= everything

  • price differences are 12% higher for work comp than group health,
  • while utilization is 60% higher for workers’ comp
  • so total costs are 77% higher.

This differs by state, with Alabama, Missouri, and Virginia showing the biggest cost difference compared to national averages, and Colorado and South Dakota with the lowest cost compared to that average.

It also differs by type of service – not surprisingly physical medicine is used much more in workers’ comp, driven almost entirely by more utilization.

That’s not surprising, as comp conditions are predominantly musculoskeletal injuries and focused on return to functionality, while group health deals with many more conditions and RTW is irrelevant.

There’s also a big difference in the cost of MRIs…

You can see that Medicare pays way less than work comp (WC is blue, Medicare is green-ish). You can also see the impact of Medicare’s change in reimbursement in 2013; it started to really impact workers comp in the years after 2014 as regulators adopted/factored in/used Medicare’s rate for reimbursement in their state.

What does this mean for you?

Price + Utilization = Cost. But one has to factor in RTW in comp, a focus that is nonexistent in group health.

 


May
20

2018 Work Comp results – key takeaways part 2 – the details

NCCI Chief Actuary Kathy Antonello’s presentation on the state of the industry has just too much information for a single post – so here’s three key details.

Reserves

Private carriers are over-reserved. That means there’s several billion dollars of excess cash on carrier books. I’d note that this ASSUMES the projections are accurate, and that losses for already-incurred claims don’t get worse (or, in insurance-speak, develop upward).

Frequency

Lost time claim frequency declined by 1 percent last year – significantly less than we’ve seen over the decade. My take is this is related to several factors.

  • Employers aren’t focusing on work comp issues – e.g. safety and loss prevention – as premiums are so low that they aren’t a problem.
  • Hiring standards have been relaxed as we’re at full employment
  • More overtime is being worked, leading to higher injuries due to tired workers

Severity

Medical costs went up a mere 1 percent in 2018, continuing a trend of relatively low increases that’s persisted since 2008 (the jump of 4.1% in 2017 looks like an aberration).

What does this mean for you?

Workers’ comp is not a problem for employers – which means it will get little attention from legislators.

When buyers aren’t experiencing pain, they have little reason to buy.


May
15

NCCI AIS 2019 – Quick Takes

This year’s Annual Issues Symposium was the best I’ve attended – and I’ve been to 20 or so.

The hotel and conference center were excellent – great service, everything was right on site, food was very good, all around best conference site experience in memory.

The opening day’s content was rich and mostly very well done. Kathy Antonello’s discussion of results continues to improve. I would have liked a bit deeper dive into cost drivers, but that’s a very minor quibble; you can’t cover everything in an hour. Graphic presentation was helpful, and Kathy is clearly comfortable on stage and enjoys presenting.

For me, after Kathy’s State of the Line the highlight was the discussion of AI and human decision making. Jim Guszcza of Deloitte was brilliant, laying out a compelling case for the joint use of both AI and humans in decision making.

A discussion of TRIA renewal was – I’m sure – of keen interest to many, but the speaker’s impact suffered a bit as he read his talk.  David Priebe of Guy Carpenter is clearly expert in all things TRIA and knows his stuff.

Moments into David Deitz’ physician panel, the hotel lost power and all went dark.  Staff responded quickly, using social media to keep all of us informed – they handled the unexpected with aplomb.

The physician panel is up there somewhere…

When things got started, I had the sense the blackout was a metaphor for payers’ views of treating providers – there’s little visibility into what docs have to deal with when serving work comp patients.

In fact, the physicians had pointed comments about the problems docs face trying to do the right thing, many of which are caused by well-intentioned but ultimately dumb “requirements”. Takeaway – if we want good care, we need to make sure the people delivering it like to work with us. We have a long way to go to make the occ docs who care for our patients true partners.

Barry Lipton quickly ran thru three research foci, I particularly liked Barry’s insights into ways work comp and group health are different.

Alas I won’t be attending the second day; the boy’s annual mountain bike trip conflicted.  It’s off to Moab, Utah, for four days of back-to-boyhood.

What does this mean for you?

This is a must go. Sign up early so you don’t get locked out of 2020.


May
14

Work comp – the physicians’ view

Dr David Deitz moderated a panel of physicians tasked with describing the role of primary care in workers’ comp. Ed Bernacki, Jill Rosenthal of Zenith, and Will Gaines of Baylor Scott&White Health participated.

The takeaways –

  • Primary care for occupational injuries which will evolve significantly over the next few years due to retirement of physicians, telemedicine and physician extenders.
  • Most physicians never get any training in occupational medicine (I know, shocker) – therefore it’s no surprise communications with treaters can be frustrating and care management contentious at times.
  • Hospital consolidation is affecting patient care, and direction of patients to the best provider can be hampered/interfered with if treating docs are required by their health system to refer to other providers in that system.
  • Measurement of “performance” and “quality” is different for occ docs; we care about long-term outcomes and functional ability. Not enough payers are actually sharing scorecards/outcome reports with treating providers, and those who are aren’t doing much in the way of follow-thru to discuss results and ways to improve.
  • Electronic Medical Record technology tends to be menu-driven, click-thru, or voice recognition  – all of which are inadequate at best.  Dr Gaines estimated EMR adds 90-105 minutes EVERY DAY to his workload. Not reimburseable, too.
    • Oh, and the doc is often looking at the computer or screen – not at the patient.
    • The EMR yet one more factor making primary care a less and less attractive specialty for new physicians. They just don’t want to deal with all that friction.