Jun
10

Workers compensation premiums

Although the firm Market Scout contends that the workers compensation market is not softening, critics question their data, objectivity, timing, and conclusions. Market Scout provides quotes for property and casualty lines, including workers comp, to agents and brokers. For those not immersed in the arcane world of insurance, a “softening market” is one where prices are dropping and coverage expanding as carriers seek to build market share, often at the expense of sound underwriting (risk selection) principles.
Evidently, one of the carriers that they use most often is the primary source of their data. At the least, this calls into question Market Scout’s conclusions; one carrier does not a market make.
There are two other potential concerns with Market Scout’s information and conclusions.
1. their data tends to lag the industry, and there are some indications that rates have begun to soften significantly since June 1.
2. other market watchers are seeing a definite, and larger, drop in WC rates than Market Scout indicates.
My sense is the market is indeed softening more rapidly than Market Scout indicates.
What does this mean for you?
If you are in the WC industry, you can either follow the numbers-challenged off the cliff or tell senior management pricing is about to cross the “stupid line”. If you choose the latter, document document document.
If you work in or provide services to a WC payer, be prepared for them to request price cuts, reductions in work force, and other means to reduce admin expense. When prices are dropping, most payers just look to cut internal expenses instead of focusing on lowering claims expense.


Jun
9

Managed care fees, TPA charges and transparency

An article in CFO.com analyzes the complex web of transactions, relationships, and incentives that exist in the employer-TPA-managed care firm web. David Katz notes:
“risk managers, by some accounts, often hand over the management of claims and medical costs to third-party administrators (TPAs) without a clear idea of their relationships with medical and claims-services providers.
In some cases, such wholesale delegation can result in “the complete outsourcing of the risk manager’s fiduciary responsibility to the organization and its shareholders by allowing these service providers to control what should be viewed as a line of credit,” according to one senior sales executive for a managed care organization specializing in workers’ compensation. Potentially, a self-insured corporation’s lax management of its workers’ comp outlays could represent “a huge hole in internal controls,” said the executive, who asked not to be identified.”
Katz goes on to discuss some of the legal investigations now in process that may be related to these issues.
What does this mean for you?
With Mr. Spitzer et al hot on the trail of unseemly transactions in the property and casualty industry, participants would be well-served to monitor their TPA relationships closely.


Jun
8

Aon’s workers compensation consulting

Two Aon execs have published a piece on workers compensation managed care in Risk Management that is uninformed, self-serving, and reflects a lack of appreciation for the true cost drivers in comp. I try not to comment on other consultants’ work, but this article demands a response .
Briefly, the article by Charles D. Reuter, senior vice president and Heidi Mader, assistant vice president with Aon Consulting, Inc in New York office calls for workers comp insurers to either “follow the herd as the industry has become accustomed or


Jun
2

Texas workers comp reform bill signed

Texas Governor Rick Perry signed a Workers Comp reform bill into law yesterday, authorizing the use of networks for treatment of injured workers.
To quote the Dallas Star Telegram;
“The revised law will create physician networks like those in commercial health plans and provide a small boost in benefits paid to injured workers. Texas has the country’s third-highest workers compensation costs and the highest rate of injured employees not returning to work. The law replaces the Workers’ Compensation Commission with a single, appointed commissioner housed in the Texas Department of Insurance and creates an Office of Injured Employee Counsel as an advocate for workers.”
What does this mean for you?
At long last, perhaps meaningful reform of the one of the nation’s worst workers comp environments. I’ll be taking a much closer look at this legislation and potential impacts of same in the near future.


Jun
1

Ohio Bureau of Workers Comp’s latest problem

Jon Coppelman at Workers’ Comp Insider has an intriguing post about the problems at the Ohio Bureau of Workers Comp. Kudos to Jon as he appears to have scooped the New York Times, who published their article a couple days later. To quote Jon;
“The workers compensation bureau has invested $50 million in rare coins, working through Tom Noe, a man prominent in Republican fund raising circles. Indeed, Mr. Noe has been recognized by the Bush-Cheney campaign as a “Pioneer,” as he raised over $100,000 for the President’s re-election campaign.
Realm of the Coin
At this point, it appears that some of the coins purchased by the state fund are missing. Two of the most valuable, totaling a quarter of a million dollars, were “lost in the mail” according to Noe. An additional 119 coins were “misappropriated by an employee.” The coins “went missing” back in 2003, but Noe neglected to tell anyone. The initial estimate for the missing coins was $400,000. Now, according to Noe’s own attorney, the figure is somewhere between $10 and $12 million.”
Despite the very troubling implications of this debacle, it does make for highly entertaining reading. Following the comedy of errors (being kind) perpetrated (or should I say committed) by elected and appointed officials will being a chuckle and shake of the head to most readers.


May
27

HMOs and Workers Comp

Why isn’t workers comp a good business for group health plans? Several clients and industry types have asked for my take on the recent move by Aetna, Coventry, Wellpoint, and possibly UnitedHealth into workers comp. Without giving away too much (as a consultant I have to make a living), here’s the synopsis.
1. The group health world is saturated. It is rapidly approaching oligopoly status, wherein a few players control most of the market. Therefore, market share is tough (and expensive) to come by.
2. Health plans are seeking alternative revenue sources, and workers comp seems attractive – it is, after all, health care delivered to insured workers by physicians, hospitals, etc.
3. Health plans are arrogant – most look at the workers comp field with disdain, as a modern homo sapiens would consider a Neanderthal. Managed care in comp is behind the times, networks are sloppy, systems are antiquated, and medical management is poorly done. No argument there.
Sound good? Not so fast.
While there are many factors that should give a group health entity pause, the most important one is the tiny size of the potential market.
Total annual medical spend in workers comp, from all payers is around $30 billion. Let’s say one health plan captured all that revenue from all payers. Here’s how the numbers work, or rather don’t.
Out of that $30 billion, about 60% will flow through a network, or $18 billion. Of that $18 billion, a very good health plan will save about 10%, or $1.8 billion. The health plan will be paid up to 20% of those savings (likely considerably less), or $360 million.
So, if one health plan has 100% market share in workers comp networks, the total revenue (not profit) is $360 million.
By way of comparison, Aetna’s annual revenues are around $20 billion and net profits of about $1.6 billion. United HealthGroup’s revenues are $44 billion, $3.6 billion in profits; Wellpoint also has $44 billion in revenues and $2.4 billion in profit.
So, while $360 million sounds good, it is about 1% of the average annual revenues of one of the top HMOs. And that is only if one HMO has 100% market share, a rather unlikely scenario.
More like a rounding error than a business opportunity.

What does this mean for you?
If you are a WC payers, beware health plans bearing gifts. If you can get by their talk of “members” and pricing based on “per member per month” and interest in including ob/gyns in their network and inability to understand the “tail” of workers comp, remain skeptical of their long term staying power.


May
27

HMO profits up 33%

Although health plan profits were up substantially in the first 9 months of 2004, only five companies were responsible for over half of those profits. Weiss Ratings’ (along with Fitch, my favorite rating firm) analysis excluded Kaiser, which had gains of $1.2 billion primarily from a regulatory change.
Four of the top five were HMOs owned by Blues plans, with the leader Blue Cross of California posting over $400 million in profits for the period.
Even more notable was the overall improvement in the industry’s financial condition, Weiss upgraded 65 HMOs and only downgraded 3. This improvement was driven by a 33.6 percent increase in profitability.
Other reports indicate the decline in the rate of medical inflation coupled with increased premiums have been largely responsible for the improvements. United HealthGroup, Coventry, Aetna, and others have all reported this “decrease in the rate of increase”.
Good times never last; consolidation in the industry has led to its’ present oligopolistic condition. Thus, health plans have three choices if they are to grow – take market share by cutting price; acquire other health plans; or seek other sources of revenue. Actually, there is a fourth – seek to reduce “cost of goods sold” by reducing reimbursement to providers, but this is highly unlikely to succeed.
The pace of acquisition will likely slow for the simple reason that there are fewer health plans to acquire. Potential candidates include Coventry, but their high-flying stock price likely precludes any move in the near future.
Plans are actively and aggressively, seeking new sources of revenue. The move into workers comp network rental by Aetna and Wellpoint are but two examples. However, it is highly unlikely that there is enough revenue in the ancillary lines to please the Street’s demands for ever-increasing growth.
That leaves price cutting. Yes, all will claim they will never repeat the mistakes of the past, and most will do so anyway. Good times never last, especially in the insurance industry.
What does this mean for you?
Three things.
1. If you are a provider, watch the new contract offers carefully.
2. If you are a workers comp payer, lock these new entrants into long term contracts with significant exit penalties – their interest will likely wane when they figure out how little money there is in workers comp, leaving you high and dry.
3. If you are an analyst, monitor pricing and medical inflation, especially the components of inflation (frequency and utilization) more than unit price. That is where renewed inflation will first appear.


May
26

Surgery v. rehab for back pain

Surgery to relieve chronic lower back pain is no better than intensive rehabilitation and nearly twice as expensive” concluded researchers in a Reuters article published Monday. The researchers at Nuffield Orthopedic Center in Oxford England studied 349 patients with back pain who either had surgery or intensive rehab.
According to Jeremy Fairbank, an orthopedic surgeon at the center “This is strong evidence that intensive rehabilitation is a good thing to do for people with chronic back pain who are thinking of having about having operations


May
24

The problem with Workers Comp provider networks

Several of the larger workers’ comp payers are strongly considering using group health provider networks for their claimant population. And, some have already inked deals with these entities (Hartford-Aetna; Hartford-Horizon NJ). This marks a shift in strategy, and the reasoning behind the moves is telling.
Workers comp networks such as First Health, CorVel, and Focus have several challenges.
First, they apply a generic, one-size-fits-all model across all markets and types of providers. While a PPO predicated on getting the best possible discounts from as many providers as possible sounds good, it breaks down when one remembers that unit price is but one-third of the medical cost equation; the other two being utilization (volume of services per claim) and frequency (number of claims with that type of service). Physical medicine and pharmacy are but two examples of types of care where total costs are minimally impacted by unit price.
Second, with the (possible) exception of First Health, the WC networks rely on their WC business to leverage discounts with providers. The problem with that is very few providers have much WC business; out of the nation’s $1.4 trillion health care bill, $30 billion is WC. Another way of looking at this is that one large HMO in Florida pays more for inpatient hospital care alone than the entire WC medical spend for all payers in that state. So, WC-only networks have little buying power.
Third, the level of customer service delivered by most of these WC-only networks has ranged from mediocre to abysmal. For some of these self-styled WC networks, there have been significant and on-going issues with data quality, provider recruitment, systems changes, state certification, and basic responsiveness, coupled with a level of arrogance that is, on occasion, breath-taking.
Added to those issues is the inability of WC networks to deliver results, defined as control of medical expenses, and it is not surprising that payers are looking elsewhere.
What does this mean for you?
If you are a WC generalist network, get your act together. If you are a WC payer, your frustration is understandable, but I have little confidence that group health companies will remain committed to this business over the long-term. UnitedHealthcare, HealthNet, Aetna, and Blue Cross of Florida are just a few examples of the group health companies that have entered, exited, and in some cases re-entered the WC network business.


May
17

NCCI’s report on drugs in Workers comp

Workers’ Comp Insider has an excellent summary of NCCI’s recent report on prescription drug costs in workers’ comp. Author Jon Coppelman raises some interesting questions, including:
“why are doctors relying on brand names, when there are very powerful generic drugs available for pain? Why prescribe Oxycontin? Why is Neurontin so popular?
Is this what consumers want?”
Coppelman rightly cites the power of detailers, the armies of attractive, intelligent, well-dressed primarily young men and women who call on physicians to encourage them to write scripts for their particular drugs.
I would also note that PBMs make money only when scripts are filled through their contracted pharmacies. Therefore, while there is indeed an incentive to the PBM to drive network penetration, there is also no incentive to prevent scripts. Certainly some PBMs work hard to “do the right thing” and there are some notable successes, but when they are financially motivated to fill scripts, there is somewhat of a conflict of interest.
Moreover, some PBMs do not understand the WC business, but are jumping into the market because margins are much more attractive than those in group health.
What does this mean for you?
Watch drug utilization growth carefully, learn about this business, and start talking to your PBM about alternative fee structures. There is no quick answer but with drugs accounting for 12% of WC medical spend, it is well worth your time to look for a longer term solution.