Sep
25

The role of price in health care cost inflation

I’ve been accused of being one of the few that actually reads the bimonthly journal Health Affairs. Well, guilty as charged, although the pub has a lot more than a ‘few’ devotees. What it does particularly well is challenge core beliefs.
The latest edition focuses on bending the cost curve – a phrase likely to inspire William Safire to dissect it in detail in one of his discourses on language. The idea is to find ways to reduce the rate of growth in health care costs, and this edition has plenty of ideas.
One of the most thought provoking articles contends that price controls are “central to curbing cost growth”. I’m going to comment on the article next week in detail, but here are a couple of points made by the authors.

  • “out of pocket spending in the United States is roughly twice the OECD median. If some Americans have “Cadillac coverage,” than most workers in Germany or France must have “Mercedes coverage” – and they would likely view many American insurance policies as “Yugo coverage.”
  • patients in OECD countries average more hospitaldays, more physician visits, and greater consumption of prescription drugs than American patients do. Higher US spending is not primarily explained by greater volume of services.
  • analyzing data from Massachusetts, David Cutler and colleagues found<, for example, that virtually all of the savings that managed care plans achieved for heart disease treatment, relative to indemnity insurance, came from price reductions./li>

I’ve long believed, and still do, that utilization is a more significant cost driver than price. I’ve seen this time and time again – in data on physician in-office utilization from CMS (up 11% in 2006), in NCCI’s analysis of workers comp prescription drug costs, in analyzing client physical medicine experience, in the correlation between workers comp medical expenses and state fee schedules – or rather lack thereof, and a host of other examples.
What doe this mean for you?
The authors make a compelling case – not just for price as a cost driver, but to always question your assumptions.


Sep
22

The cost of surgical implants in workers comp

A new RAND study reports California’s employers are paying $60 million more than they should for surgical implants. Not the surgery, or the follow up care, or the facility costs – just the devices themselves.
According to Jim Sams’ piece in today’s WorkCompCentral,

“the state’s fee schedules allow hospitals to bill separately for the hardware that is used in spinal fusion surgeries plus an administrative fee. [lead researcher for the cost-savings project Barbara] Wynn said the resource-based relative value scale that Medicare uses to calculate the appropriate fee for spinal surgery hardware procedures already includes the cost of the hardware, and California’s fee schedule pays 120% of the Medicare rate.
“Passing through WC device costs on top of 120% of the Medicare payment results in paying for the spinal hardware twice, creates incentives for unnecessary device usage, and imposes unnecessary administrative burden,” she said in her report.
Wynn said repealing the rules that allow pass-through charges would save $60 million annually.”

There’s a lot more to the RAND study, but this highlights a big problem area – one much larger than $60 million.

First, why is work comp paying 20% more than Medicare?

Second, surgical implants are not “one and done”. It is fairly common for patients to have to undergo surgery to replace defective or incorrectly used devices.
Third, the cost of the implant can often push total expense for inpatient care past the outlier limit, making the stay substantially more expensive.
Fourth, the cost of implants is growing much faster than overall medical inflation – one projection has the spinal implant market increasing 16% per year.
What does this mean for you?
California hasn’t fixed this problem yet, despite knowing about it for eight years. And don’t think this is unique to the Golden State (a term likely coined by implant manufacturer Stryker); the use of implants is up all over the country.


Sep
18

Another question for your work comp managed care vendors

Following on yesterday’s post, I received several emails from payers and vendors alike suggesting other pertinent questions payers may want to pose to their vendors. The most common pertained to fee-sharing between TPAs and vendors.
This practice has long existed in comp; TPAs have charged clients to build links to networks, bill review vendors, pharmacy benefit managers, and case/utilization management firms. These charges may appear as one-time fees, but more often as a percentage of the vendors’ revenue from the client. And in some cases, these costs don’t appear unless you look very, very closely.
That’s not to say it is unethical or illegal or immoral or bad business for vendors and TPAs to share fees – but it certainly is a problem if they don’t fully inform their clients. Clients aren’t blameless in this either; many employers have beaten TPAs down on admin costs so far that TPAs have to make up the lost revenue from somewhere – and fee splitting is the perfect ‘somewhere’.
Several TPAs, most notably Gallagher Bassett, pride themselves on full disclosure of fee sharing. Others will disclose if asked, and a couple – SRS (the Hartford’s TPA) and Broadspire – do not participate in commissions (although they may charge an upfront implementation fee, again fully disclosed).
Recently I reviewed proposals from several TPAs for a large self-insured employer in the northeast. Broadspire’s administrative fees were considerably higher than the competition, (who shall remain nameless for obvious reasons). But when managed care fees were added in to the calculation, their bid was quite competitive. Several of the other TPAs had low per-claim adjusting fees, but their estimated fees for managed care services were much higher.
(Broadspire is not a client and HSA has no business relationship with the firm)
What do you do with this?
You may want to require your TPA’s CEO to sign a document (after your attorneys polish the language) stating words to the effect that “We will fully disclose any and all financial transactions involving (TPA) and any and all managed care entities providing services to (employer) and employer’s claimants. This disclosure includes but is not limited to service fees, commissions, implementation fees, RFP and proposal assistance charges, transaction fees, connection fees, membership fees, and any and all other transfer of monies from managed care entities to (TPA).”
Then, ask the same question of your managed care vendors. Hopefully there won’t be any surprises.


Sep
17

Questions for your work comp managed care vendors

Here, in no particular order, are a few questions you may want to pose to the folks who manage your work comp medical dollars. Whether the answers are ‘right’, ‘wrong’, or neither depends on your situation, but regardless of the answer, these are things you should be thinking about.
1. Are your incentives aligned? To know, you’ll obviously need to have a tight grasp on the strategic objectives for your comp program. Minimize cost? Maintain strong employee relations? Avoid antagonizing union workers? Maximize employee productivity? And the follow on question – do your vendors know and understand those objectives, and finally how have they demonstrated that understanding?
This is the foundation for a successful program; if you aren’t starting with the same strategic goal you’ll be constantly battling over direction, focus, resources, cost. The relationship will be time-consuming, frustrating, and ultimately fail. To be successful you, and your vendors, must ‘succeed’ together, or fail together. Here’s an example. If your objective is to manage total program cost, make sure the vendors are aware of their role in that effort, and specifically how their fees add to the program’s cost. Pharmacy Benefit Managers make money on each and every script that flows thru their network, yet several have very effective clinical management programs that reduce overuse of expensive drugs. How does your program recognize and address this apparent conflict?
2. Are their reports meaningful? I’ve seen hundreds of reports from managed care vendors, and only a few have been useful. Most recently, I have been reviewing reports on bill review and network results from a couple of the big TPAs; they include ‘savings’ below billed charges; network ‘savings’ below billed charges, and network penetration as a percent of billed charges.
The continued focus on billed charges as the basis for calculating savings makes little sense. Paying what you are legally required to pay and no more does not create ‘savings’. It’s analogous to your credit card company telling you it ‘saved’ you a thousand dollars by not charging you for fraudulent use of your card.
Savings should be based on cost per claim. How much did you pay for medical expenses – in total and by separate category – and how does that compare to prior years and benchmarks? That’s a big difference from the industry’s traditional view of ‘savings’, which look only at reductions in cost on each line item on each medical bill. That metric is helpful, but it can also be very misleading.
If a claimant gets lumbar surgery at a high cost hospital, which bills you $100,000, and your PPO gets a 20% discount, you ‘save’ about $15,000 – the amount of the discount less the PPO fee.
But lets say the claimant goes to a less expensive, but nonetheless equal quality facility, which only charges $75,000. This hospital happens to be out of network, so there are no PPO ‘savings’, yet your costs are still $10,000 less than the PPO facility.
So your savings reports show the PPO hospital visit creating $15,000 in savings, the non-PPO stay creating no savings, and your medical costs are $10,000 higher. Oh, and your bonus plan and performance appraisal take a hit too…
That’s not to say ‘savings’ reports aren’t useful, but they can divert attention from the key metric – cost per claim. Make sure the PPO reports show savings below fee schedule or UCR, and agree on the basis for UCR as well.
3. Is your utilization review/case management function electronically linked to bill review? My firm conducted a survey of bill review in workers comp earlier this summer, and found that most programs are still not connected. While there are manual workarounds and checks and audit schemes in place at many payers, we all know that they are poor substitutes for automated connections.
After you’ve asked the initial question, audit several cases to determine if UR determinations actually show up in bill review. A couple places to check – PT visits, MRIs, and drugs. Check the claimant’s paid medical records for several months after the initial determination, and look for payment to any provider for that service.
If you’ve decided to buy bill review and UR from different vendors, it is going to be incumbent on you to ensure they are connected; and this is going to cost you. That’s fine, if the benefit is worth the added expense.
These are just a few of the questions that should be on your list, but these should be at the top.


Sep
14

Coventry will not be selling its workers comp unit

Coventry CFP Shawn Guertin confirmed the company’s commitment to workers comp in this morning’s Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference, noting comp is a : “[somewhat] different piece [compared to their medicare and commercial business] that has performed very well this year and will continue to perform well and [will likely] grow going forward.”
Guertin’s comment was in response to a question from the moderator about potential asset sales or acquisitions; he noted the sale earlier this year of a specialty Medicaid business before mentioning workers comp. Guertin also said observers should not look for Coventry to sell businesses, as their strategic overhaul under Chairman and CEO Allen Wise is pretty much finished.
I’d note that while there are practical reasons that make a sale of some of all of the work comp business unlikely, the financial returns generated by the business are quite attractive, and serve to balance out the Medicare/Medicaid/Commercial health businesses’ cyclical nature.
From a practical perspective, Coventry will own its bill review code within a couple weeks after an investment reported to be well north of $10 million; would find it very difficult to separate out its workers comp provider contracts from the other lines of business, and its case management and UR units have suffered from the decline in claims frequency. Thus even if Wise et al wanted to sell the work comp business – which they clearly do not – they would find it quite difficult to extricate it from the rest of their operations.
The twenty minute presentation also included comments on Medicare, medical loss ratios and factors affecting the MLR, and Coventry’s strategic thinking concerning health reform.
More on that to come…


Sep
4

Is the low work comp injury frequency rate a myth?

More than 75,000 work comp injuries were not reported in just three cities last year. Close to a million may have gone unreported nationally.
Yesterday’s news (sub req) that 92% of low-wage workers don’t file work comp claims for injuries that require medical attention was a shocker. I’d long thought the actual injury rate is higher than the reported rate – but nowhere near that high.
Fully half of the workers with on the job injuries “experienced an illegal employer reaction”, including firing the worker, calling immigration authorities, or telling the worker not to file a comp claim.
Here’s a quick summary from the piece in WorkCompCentral:

The survey found:
* 43% of the injured respondents were required to work despite their injury.
* 30% said their employer refused to help them with the injury.
* 13% were fired shortly after the injury.
* 10% said their employer made them come into work and sit around all day.
* 4% said they were threatened with deportation or at least notification to Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
* 3% were told not to file a workers’ compensation claim.
* 8% were told by employers to file a claim.

You can read the WCC or other article to understand the methodology, which looks pretty solid. And some of the stats above aren’t as troubling as they might first appear – requiring injured workers to work, or come in and not work, may be OK if the injury wasn’t that severe. I’m trying to give the employer the benefit of the doubt here, but for those workers who were threatened, whose employers refused to help with the injury, or were fired because of the injury there is not only a work comp problem, there’s a legal, ethical, and moral failing.
As our economy has become more service-based, the number of low wage jobs has increased – jobs that are held by people that tend to be minorities, undereducated, and recent immigrants, legal or undocumented. My sense is the drop in work comp claim frequency may be – at least partially – due to the failure to report injuries as well as structural changes in the economy and improvements in safety and loss prevention.
The study looked at a population that accounts for fifteen percent of all workers in three cities; Chicago, New York, and Los Angeles. Extrapolating the numbers out in just those three cities indicates that 75,446 workers comp injuries were not reported.
Moreover, according to the study, “workers compensation insurance paid the medical expenses for only 6 percent of the workers in our sample who visited a doctor for an on-the-job injury or illness.” [emphasis added]

What does this mean for you?

For the comp industry, the declining frequency years may be coming to a screeching halt.
If you’re a work comp payer, you’ve been ‘lucky’ if you insure these businesses. That ‘luck’ will soon change as the Department of Labor is dramatically ramping up enforcement efforts. (I don’t mean to imply that comp carriers have somehow been complicit in this, in fact the opposite is much more likely as insurers work very hard to ensure rapid and accurate claim reporting.)
If you’re a TPA or other servicing entity, your revenues have been suppressed by the failure to report injuries.
And if you’re one of these low-wage workers, perhaps there’s hope that the situation will improve.


Aug
27

CORRECTION – The big PBMs and changes in AWP

My post yesterday about the coming changes to the AWP pricing formula for drugs included the statement

Understandably, the pharmacies, both independents and chains, are asking the big PBMs to change their contracts to account for the change by reimbursing the pharmacies a few points higher then their current rate.
Word is the big PBMs – Medco, Express – have politely declined.

The second sentence is wrong. Sources indicate the pharmacy chains/independents and the big PBMs are working thru the issue, or have already agreed to terms intended to preserve “cost neutrality” for the pharmacies.
I don’t have all the details on this yet, but wanted to correct my mistake as quickly as possible. More information to follow…
I apologize for the error.


Aug
25

My firm, Health Strategy Associates, has conducted a survey of prescription drug management each year for the last five. I’m well into the survey portion of the Sixth Annual Survey, and here are some preliminary findings.
1. Drug cost inflation appears to show signs of rebounding after five years of decreases in the rate of increase. The data is by no means complete, but most of the respondents to date reported cost inflation was higher in 2008 than the previous year.
2. More respondents are tracking their first fill capture rate this year than last. There appears to be a significant focus on this metric, based at least in part on the sense that the earlier the PBM can get involved in a claim, the more likely it will be able to minimize over-prescribing and inappropriate dispensing.
3. Respondents are more aware of the actual strengths and weaknesses of specific PBMs than they were in the past; the buyers with strong knowledge of and experience in this niche are pretty savvy.
4. The primary cost driver remains utilization – too many of the wrong type of drugs dispensed by too many physicians, especially for pain.
5. Clinical management programs are increasingly important to payers (see 5. above), and they are getting smarter about these programs, what works and what doesn’t, and why. Marketing pitches aren’t cutting it any more; these folks want to see programs in action, study the reports, and understand the logic.
The report will be out next month. If you’d like to download copies of the previous reports, click here.


Aug
18

The recovery is coming – what does that mean for work comp?

Work comp is affected by several factors, but none are as significant as the economy. After over a year of horrible news, things look to be slowly getting better. As activity picks up, we can expect the comp industry to start breathing again.
Last week the index of leading economic indicators improved again, marked by increases in housing starts and sales of existing homes, and manufacturing hours worked. Things have been on the upswing since April, although digging out of the worst recession since the 1930s is proving hugely difficult.
The employment picture also brightened somewhat in July, but the improvement is an indicator of just how bad things have been. 247,000 jobs were lost during July, the lowest total since last August. Auto sales were also up fifteen percent in the month driven in part by the ‘cash for clunkers’ program, and Ford announced it will actually increase production by 21% later this year.
The big concern has been inflation, which would choke off any recovery; so far, there appears to be no dramatic increase in consumer prices, with the consumer price index flat last month.
Those of us deep in the workers comp business have watched as the injury rate has declined along with the economy; with fewer people working fewer hours, particularly in high-frequency industries such as manufacturing, construction, and transportation, the number of claims ‘fell off a cliff’ during the winter. Moreover, the people who were laid off were the ones with less experience, and the pace of work likely lessened as well.
The drop in frequency hammered many workers comp service firms; with fewer claims, there has been much less demand for claim intake and triage, claims management, primary medical care, physical therapy and diagnostic imaging, medical case management, bill repricing, and utilization review. Provider networks have suffered as well with fewer bills resulting in lower revenues.
The decline in frequency was somewhat offset by a continued rise in severity – medical expenses and wage replacement costs.
Now what?
As economic activity increases, premium volume will increase in line with payroll. That’s the good news – more revenue for comp writers. The bad news – for those comp writers, is the injury rate is likely to jump, and there are no indications that severity is going to decline. We may well be looking at an increase in the number of injuries coupled with higher costs per injury.
The good folks at the NCCI have looked at the impact of economic recoveries on workers comp, finding “Job creation is related to an increase in the proportion of workers who are inexperienced in their current job and, hence, more likely to sustain a workplace injury.”
As firms staff up to meet demand for new houses, cars, and services, the faster pace of work, coupled with the inexperience of the new hires, will likely result in more injuries both in total and as a function of hours worked. Again, according to NCCI, “On net, the effect of job creation dominates quantitatively, thus generating the observed pro cyclical behavior in the growth rate of workplace injury and illness incidence rates. Further, it is shown that the growth rate of frequency tends to overshoot during economic recoveries, although this effect is not common to all recessions.”
In layman’s terms, we can expect a ‘higher than expected’ increase in the number and frequency of injuries. Here’s how this will affect the comp industry:
– Insurers – higher claims volume and higher medical/indemnity expense equals greater losses, which may not be balanced by premium increases. I’m expecting combined ratios to increase this year and next, as premiums tend to lag experience (the continued soft market is a contributing factor, as some comp insurers persist in fighting price wars,)
– Claims organizations – TPAs can’t wait much longer for a better market. Several have cratered, and others are losing business at a scary rate. Many TPAs get paid on a per-claim basis, and the drop in frequency has just murdered their top line, while the increase in severity means they are spending more resources (or not, for those TPAs near death) to manage those claims that do occur.
– Medical providers – The occ clinic companies – Concentra, USHealthworks, and their regional and health system-affiliated competitors, have been hammered by the drop in frequency. These clinics are primary-care focused, and are directly, and immediately, affected by any changes in frequency. Increases in severity have little effect on their results, as more expensive claims are almost always treated by specialists which don’t practice at clinics.
– Managed care firms – While Coventry has continued to increase revenue during the recession, this has been driven by price increases and hard bargaining. Other firms, including Genex, IntraCorp, and the regional players have seen precipitous drops in activity for two reasons. The obvious one is there are fewer claims to handle; the less obvious is many of their customers – TPAs and insurers – have internalized managed care functions in an effort to hold on to revenue and capture whatever margin went to vendors.
– Specialty managed care firms – Companies focused on PT, pharmacy, and especially durable medical equipment and home health care have been affected less severely than other service firms. As the injury rate picks up, they will see more volume, particularly in the areas of PT and pharmacy.
What to watch for
Tracking trends in work comp requires the ability to see ‘over the horizon’; none of the reporting agencies or entities have been able to collect data in real time, or anything close to it. Unless you want to wait for eighteen months, you’ll have to rely on anecdotal ‘data’. Here are a couple potential sources.
– TPAs and case management firms posting new jobs
– Individual company hiring notices, especially in manufacturing, construction, transportation, health care
– Employment statistics, particularly increases in hours worked and jobs created


Aug
6

The Administration’s drug deal – implications for work comp

Today’s NYTimes confirms that the deal struck by big PHRMA and the Administration over drug costs is set in stone; the White House confirmed that they will not go back to drug companies and ask for concessions beyond the $80 billion already promised. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D CA) has said Congress is not bound by the deal, but it appears that pharma is safe.
I’ll leave the sticky policy implications for a later post, but for now consider what this means for workers comp.
Recall that the current law of the land prevents negotiations by the Secretary of HHS with drug companies over price. This significantly limits the Feds’ ability to reduce costs, and is somewhat unique as most other of the G20 countries do negotiate directly with drug companies – either for prices directly or via a reference or index price scheme.
With yesterday’s ‘announcement’, the concern that work comp PBMs and payers (should have) had over the potential for a massive cost shift to comp appears allayed. There was significant concern that had the Feds forced the pharmaceutical industry to cut prices (via price negotiations, reference/index pricing, or a mandated Medicare rebate) manufacturers would raise prices charged to other payers – and the softest target out there in most states is the comp industry.
The big PBMs – CVS Caremark, Medco, Express – are all large enough to negotiate attractive deals on their own, and many of the payer-based PBMs would also be able to protect their pricing (or piggyback on deals cut by the big three). Not so for comp PBMs, which traditionally pay higher rates to pharmacies due to the higher handling and transaction costs associated with complying with state regulations and identifying and routing scripts.
What does this mean for you?
This doesn’t mean all is fine in the comp drug world, but it does mean the $2 billion plus industry has dodged a very large bullet.