Mar
23

Rather than inundate your in-box with multiple posts last week, I decided to delay posting on some of the research for a few days.  Today, WCRI’s analysis of work comp reform’s impact.

I had to listen very quickly and type even faster while listening to WCRI’s Carol Telles discussion of the impact of reform efforts in four states…as a result I probably missed most of the really good stuff.

When IL changed their Fee Schedule in 2011, medical payments per claim dropped about 19% while overall prices paid for non-hospital services dropped 27%. What’s with the discrepancy?  Did utilization or intensity of services increase to partially offset the intended 30% decrease in the fee schedule?  I might’ve missed the answer…

North Carolina also tried to reduce facility costs by changing the fee schedule from one based on charges to one based on Medicare for hospitals and Ambulatory Surgical Centers – there is a progressive decrease for services each year from 2015 to 2017, resulting in inpatient at 160% of Medicare and outpatient and ASC at 200%, with no separate billing or mar-ups for surgical implants.

In our favorite state – California – the implementation of SB 863 led to slight but significant decreases in medical payments per claim after many years of continual steady inflation. This was driven by reduction of reimbursement for ASCs from 120% of medicare to 80% effective 1/1/13, the elimination of additional reimbursement for surgical implants, and as of 1/1/14, a gradual transition to a Medicare-based FS for non-hospital providers.

Not surprisingly, ASC payments per claim decreased dramatically, dropping 24% in 2013/2014.  Imaging was also hit hard with a 23% drop, while physical medicine payments increased 28%.  This isn’t surprising as it is consistent with CMS’ desire to increase reimbursement for cognitive services.

Interestingly, the shift to the Medicare RBRVS system  resulted in a change in billing practices; the “rise in billing more complex office visits…stopped…after RBRVS transition.”

Last up was Louisiana.  State-set medical treatment guidelines were introduced five years ago, and there have been slightly fewer visits per claim after that intro.  The biggest drop was in pain management injections followed by a 5.7% drop in physical medicine (PT, OT, chiro).

The net – reform can effectively reduce cost if effectively targeted and well-designed.


Mar
11

Physician dispensing, opiods and efforts to control same

The last session at WCRI focused on my least favorite topics – doc dispensed drugs and opioids. note findings are preliminary and subject to change.

From Dongchun Wang, doc dispensing.

My takeaways.

Price-focused controls don’t work to control physician dispensing.  Sure, they work over the short term, but the dispensing industry quickly circumvents those price controls by coming up with novel new drugs, increasing the volume, or finding higher base-cost drugs to dispense to their patients.

In fact, prices for doc dispensed drugs-actually INCREASE quarter by quarter post-implementation of price-based controls.

For those of us who’ve been stuck fighting a barely even battle against the profiteering crappy docs and their supporters who do this, this is NOT new news.

Perhaps the to-be-released study will energize payers and employers to finally ban doc dispensing, and/or drive adoption of pharmacy direction (this last is the only real solution), we’ve seen doc dispensing rise even in states that technically ban or severely restrict doc dispensing

Argh.

Opioids.  Vennela Thumula PhD talked about opioids.  Double Argh.

Okay, the good news is the amount of opioids per claim has decreased somewhat over the last few years, with almost every state seeing a drop (except WI).

  • About 30% of patients that get opioids only get one script – which is fine.  Acute injury, quick treatment, all good…
  • but 70% of so get more than one – and therein lies the issue.
  • NY LA and PA have much higher opioid usage than the average, with NY and LA patients getting well over 3000 MEDs per claim. THIS IS INSANE.
  • the average worker in Louisiana got 7 scripts, due largely to the large percentage of workers who used opioids for more than six months.
  • A significant percentage of opioid-taking claimants were also dispensed benzodiazepines.  WTF are these people thinking?

Drug testing has increased over the last few years – which is fine, except that the top 5% of claimants in LA are getting tested 11 times for 12 substances per test – and the average test costs just under $1200.

This is almost certainly driven by physician-owned labs, which have proliferated over the last few years.  (full disclosure – Millennium Health is a consulting client).

What does this mean for you?

We have a very, very long way to go.


Mar
11

Health care delivery varies a LOT – and there’s your opportunity

So, medicine is a science right?

If it is, then the delivery of care should be consistent across the country for patients with identical conditions, right.

Absolutely not.

That’s the quick takeaway from a terrific panel this morning at WCRI; below is the detail.

I’ve long been intrigued by the huge variation in medical care delivery across geography – why medical care for identical conditions for the same type of patient varies greatly from place to place is pervasive, fascinating, and, more to the point, driver of low quality and high cost care.

Dr Jon Lurie of tjhe Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy is one of the nation’s leading experts on this issue.  I’ll get right to the big finding –

There’s tremendous variance in “preference and supply-sensitive medical care” across hospital regions, defined as medical care for procedures such as vertebroplasty, spine surgery, total joint arthroplasty, and, in reality, most musculoskeletal procedures.

The most gross example is vertebroplasty, which varies by a hundred-fold.

That’s right, if you live in one area, you may be 100 times more likely to get this procedure than in another area.

Frequency of the medical procedures done in work comp varies widely across the country, and even within states.  Discussing one type of procedure, authors of a study found; “orthopedic surgeons’ opinions or enthusiasm for the procedure was the dominant modifiable determinant of ara variation.”

In English, doctors’ opinions and enthusiasm – not science, evidence, or outcomes – greatly influences what procedures get done how often.

Shockingly, reimbursement also affects procedure usage.  Washington and California have very different approaches to spinal fusion due to regulatory influences, with WA regulating the procedure much more tightly.  As a result, in WA, costs are lower, outcomes much better, there are far fewer spinal fusions, and the surgeries that are performed are less complex.

Yep, costs are lower, outcomes are better – and, not coincidentally, patients are much better served due to WA’s widespread use of evidence-based medical guidelines.

Next up was WCRI’s Dr Oleysa Fomenko – who got everyone’s attention with the opening statement “why are injured workers in one state three times more likely to get surgery than workers in another state?”

Key takeaway – in general, the higher the rate of surgery in group health, higher the rate of surgery in WC.  So, a payer can look at Medicare data and get a fairly accurate picture of what they can expect to see among their work comp patients.

However (there’s always a however), states that pay really, really well for surgery for work comp patients have a lot more surgeries than one would expect.

Alas, the Land of Lincoln is, once again, our poster child for bad outcomes – the work comp surgery rate is 2.5 times higher than one would expect, due perhaps to the $11,000 higher reimbursement for the procedure in IL vs the other study states.

NCCI’s Barry Lipton led off the panel with a discussion of cost variation across six states, using a methodology that took out fee schedule variations. The takeaway – costs for initial care for knee injuries varied by 71% across the six states, with KY CO and IL well above the other three (MD IN MO).

For knee injuries, one of the differentiators is, not surprisingly, utilization – with MD IN and MO exhibiting low utilization.  Utilization of surgery and physical medicine [PM] are the primary drivers.  There are also differences between and among the high-cost states. KY has much higher surgical costs, with IL spending a lot more on PM.

The other differentiator is the cost associated with diagnoses; cost per diagnosis varied widely across the study states.

Across the three high cost states, surgical utilization accounts for 35% of the cost compared to 23% in the low cost states; in contrast diagnostic imaging accounts for 32% in low cost states and and 24% in high cost states (other cost areas are pretty similar).

That said, looking at elbows and knees, most of the interstate variation is due to surgical and PM utilization AND how specific conditions get different treatment in different states.

For those patient and nerdy enough to make it this far, give yourself a new pocket protector as a reward.

What does this mean for you?

Medicine is a lot art and varies widely, and therein lies the problem – and for smart payers, the opportunity.

 


Mar
10

More than one truth – California workers’ comp

Before we jump into the above-cited topic, courtesy of the ever-enlightening Alex Swedlow, are Myths and Facts about work comp

  • States with larger work comp agencies do NOT have higher work comp costs.  Nor is there a correlation due to red- or blue-state status.
  • There is no correlation between fee schedules and total medical costs
  • The arrival of an attorney on a claim (a quarter of CA claimants have attorneys) directly and significantly increases claim costs.
  • There’s a strong correlation between attorneys per capita and work comp costs. Alex shared a great heat map illustrating this in various regions of Cali; shockingly SoCal has higher attorney involvement rates.

So, why is California’s WC medical so hard to manage?

  1. It’s a very big state in terms of people and size
  2. Almost no shared risk; copays, deductibles, etc that influence buying decisions
  3. Disputes and dispute resolution have been a major issue

It’s this last issue that has gotten much of the attention – so CWCI has done a lot of research and published numerous studies on UR, IMR, dispute resolution and related matters.

There are two key takeaways – the vast majority of requested services flow thru the system without any review, and there’s a core group of bad actor docs who are flooding the dispute resolution system with requests for services that they know full well are going to be rejected. (this last is my interpretation).

Typically, once a utilization review system is put in place along with clinical guidelines, providers learn what will and will not be approved, and modify their behavior accordingly. For some reason, that hasn’t been the case in California, where the volume of IMR decisions increased by 15% from 2014 – 2015 – the opposite of what happened in TX.

Digging deeper, the aberrant behavior is concentrated in SoCal, due primarily to a relatively tiny number of physicians in Los Angeles.

In fact a mere 10 providers were responsible for one of every eight IMR decisions. And, 128 docs generated 48% of all IMR decisions.

These appeals are driven in large part by pharmacy – California’s annual spend on WC drugs is around a billion dollars, and about half of IMR decisions revolve around pharmaceuticals.  If CA implements a formulary, this spend could be cut by 15% to perhaps 50%.

Clearly the issue in California is NOT the wholesale denial of necessary care. Rather, it IS the fact that a very, very few providers are abusing the system while trying to deliver crappy medicine to their work comp patients.


Mar
10

How workers fare under work comp varies across states

That’s the top takeaway from the second presentation at WCRI’s annual meeting.

The researchers interviewed 6000 injured workers on topics including access to and satisfaction with health care, recovery of health and functioning, and speed/sustainability of return to work. (preliminary findings, results may change); efforts were made to control for factors that might affect results.

Across the 15 states, “substantial” return to work varied from 91% in IN to 81% in GA (sustained across at least 30 days, with the median of 14%.

My reaction is probably same as your’s; that’s awful.

Digging into the data indicates there’s a lot more to this.

  • there’s a very solid improvement in health status across the surveyed population post injury;
  • however the average respondent is still significantly less functional/has a significantly lower health status post-injury
  • on average one in six injured workers reported “big problems” getting the medical services they wanted. (I know, that care may or may not be medically necessary or indicated)
    • a third of those workers said the problem was due to their employer or insurer discouraging them from going to a provider they wanted to see or getting a procedure (again, paraphrasing).
  • 14% of workers were “very dissatisfied” with overall medical care
  • Wisconsin consistently ranked better than most or all other study states; it’s also one of the highest medical cost states.
    • David Deitz MD noted that all the research into health care costs and quality show no correlation between expenditures and outcomes.

Kudos to WCRI for conducting this research; ultimately the work comp system and stakeholders therein should be judged based on outcomes.  That said, don’t make the mistake of taking results at face value.

Digging into data always reveals details that may confound or contradict initial impressions.


Mar
10

Reimbursement’s effect on case shifting to work comp

WCRI’s annual meeting began with a presentation on the relationship of fee schedules to case shifting.  Put another way, does physician compensation affect categorization of claims as work comp?

This followed their previous study (discussed here) on the impact of capitation on case shifting (kudos to WCRI for allowing me to present a different view in their webinar on the topic).

(note the report discussed herein is based on preliminary findings and subject to change)

The basic question addressed was “do higher fee schedules increase the number of workers’ comp cases?”  More specifically, do treating docs categorize claims as work comp because they make more money under work comp?

The research looked at knee arthroscopies across a couple dozen states; there was some consistency in prices paid in those states for group health claims; notably several states had much higher reimbursement for work comp than group health (CT, IL, NJ are three).

Key finding – “A 20% growth in WC reimbursement rates for office visit related services equates to a 6% increase in the odds of a soft tissue injury being called work related.” [paraphrase, may not be exact quote]

In contrast, there was no difference in trauma-related cases, which implies providers

David Deitz, MD noted a key consideration not addressed – the microgeography of health care varies quite dramatically within states and may be an important driver; this may be a fruitful area for further investigation. (the Truven database doesn’t allow for this type of analysis) Dr Deitz also noted the American Academy of Orthopedic Surgeons evidently recommends physicians consider type of coverage when determining whether or not to perform surgery.  (paraphrasing Dr Deitz)

Notably, patients may get significantly richer benefits if the claim is determined to be work comp due to indemnity benefits.

The researcher, Dr Olesya Fomenko, determined that two states in particular saw significant financial impact of this; there was a multi-million dollar impact in IL and TX due to the higher medical costs AND indemnity expense associated with the “higher number” of work comp cases due to case shifting.

A key question not addressed is this: how is the treating doc’s pay affected by the payer type?  Not the overall reimbursement differential, but the payment to the doc who actually makes the causation determination.

 


Mar
1

WCRI’s John Ruser on today, tomorrow, and next year

Late last week I sat down with WCRI President/CEO John Ruser to get his views on his first few months at the helm, find out what’s on the agenda at the WCRI conference next week (if you haven’t registered, get your fingers over here), and learn about future areas of focus.

MCM – What has been the most eye-opening for you as you’ve moved from the Bureau of Labor Statistics to WCRI?

Ruser – First off, it is an honor to take the helm of such a well-regarded organization with such a diverse membership and to be working with such an intelligent and talented group of colleagues who are committed to publishing high-quality, credible and independent research. Along those lines, what has been most eye-opening has been the tremendous support for the research from all stakeholders in the workers’ compensation community. I’ve always knew WCRI was well-regarded, but when you are in the position I am in and interacting with people all across the country, you really understand how truly special WCRI is and how important the mission is to provide policymakers and other stakeholders with the data they need to make more informed decisions.

MCM – What has been the most fun?

Ruser – Working for BLS, you put out data and that is it. However, WCRI has so much interaction with the workers’ compensation community through their rigorous quality assurance process (i.e., reviewers, state advisory committees, etc.). The other thing that makes WCRI different is our mission, which is to be a catalyst for significant improvements in workers’ compensation systems. So that is what is fun, to see the research being used by the community it is seeking to help.

MCM – What will attendees learn at WCRI’s conference next week?

Ruser – A big area of interest this year is opt-out. We have two sessions on opt-out that will provide a deep dive from multiple viewpoints. In addition, researchers from the Dartmouth Atlas project and NCCI will join our staff to discuss interstate variation in medical treatments. The conference will also include the latest research on prescribing of opioids across the country, which is an issue that garners great attention in and outside the workers’ compensation community. We are hopeful that presentations on the issue lead to changes.

MCM – Do you see changes in the research focus of WCRI going forward?

Ruser – Over the next two years, I expect we will be doing a lot of work on treatment guidelines; their impact on outcomes, procedures, costs, and injured worker outcomes. We are also working on an update on injured worker outcomes with surveys of injured workers. Areas covered by the surveys include access to and satisfaction with medical care, return to work timing, and earnings loss. There has also been a lot of interest in our work on case-shifting, so we will be doing a study to see if there is evidence of case shifting due to high deductible health plans.

MCM – Can you give a bit more detail on treatment guidelines? What’s driving that focus?

Ruser – In discussions with our members and other stakeholders, treatment guidelines have risen to the top of the priority list. There is interest in learning what leads providers to use treatment guidelines and to what extent treatment guidelines affect outcomes. Utilization review (UR) and compliance issues affect the former. We want to better understand what kind of programs are out there and how are they being used, do treating physicians comply with guidelines?, are denied services paid?, what are providers’ views of these programs.

We have begun semi-structured interviews with physicians in Louisiana re guidelines, and have seen a wide range of responses. We are learning a lot about providers’ views and, at the same time, gaining experience and expertise in collecting, analyzing, and using information from free-form surveys.

I expect we will use what we’re learning about text mining in another area – triggers of claimant attorney involvement. This gives us an opportunity to explore using broad questions to collect unstructured data, and then code that data to provide information. There is tremendous opportunity to use less-structured information in our research.


Jan
18

How to reduce medical costs the easy way

Here’s one very effective way to reduce medical spend.

  1. Identify low-cost providers.
  2. Send your patients to them.

Do NOT send your patients to providers because they give a discount.

Do NOT send patients to providers because those providers are “in network.”

Fact is, there is wide variation between and among providers in the same geographic area – for the same procedure.

Another fact is, there’s no correlation between cost and “quality”.

There you have it.


Dec
17

ACA, work comp, and case shifting – the details

Last week’s webinar on ACA and the possibility of case-shifting due to capitation was quite well attended – those who could not make it can take a listen by signing up here (there’s a fee for members and non-members of WCRI).

I was honored to be asked to participate, asked to present a different perspective (namely, it’s very hard to attribute case-shifting to ACA) based on what I see as a very complex and diverse health care world.

Here are a few reasons for my skepticism.

The argument for case shifting requires several assumptions:

  • HMOs are capitated
  • there are financial incentives e.g. capitation at the primary care level
  • primary care providers are aware of the financial implications of case assignment
  • PCPs purposely assign cases to work comp based on those financials
  • the ACA will lead to more Accountable Care Organizations that will use capitation more

A couple observations.

  1. About 2/3 of HMOs use capitation to reimburse provider groups.
  2. About 60% use some form of fee for service, so many HMOs use BOTH capitation AND FFS.
  3. Almost all PCPs are NOT paid by capitation.  In fact, PCPs are most often paid by FFS.
  4. Some – but by no means all – ACOs contract with employers.  Capitated reimbursement is almost unheard of in these arrangements.
  5. The interaction of reimbursement and physician behavior is complex and by no means straight forward.

So, while the provider group is frequently capitated, the providers within that group are not.

There’s also no indication that capitation at the group level is becoming more popular under ACA.

Finally, I’d suggest that folks really interested in this take the time to dig deep into provider reimbursement under ACOs and ACA and HMOs.  It’s very complex, far from simple, and, as Jaan Sidorov illustrates so eloquently when describing a research study intended to promote standards of care:

This study should give pause to anyone who thinks that physicians can be manipulated with more money.  They live by more than bread alone.

What does this mean for you?

When you think you are starting to figure things out, it’s probably because you just haven’t looked deeply enough.


Dec
8

Does the ACA cause providers to shift cases to work comp?

The ACA is in place and causing massive changes to the provider and payer landscape. One question broached by WCRi in recently-published research deals with the possibility of “case shifting” from group health to work comp.

That is, do primary care providers selectively “allocate” cases to work comp based on reimbursement motivations?

If yes, there are obvious and significant ramifications for all of us, many of which will have negative consequences for employers and insurers.

But, in my view, the picture is anything but clear – on many levels.

WCRI’s hosting a webinar this Thursday at 2 pm EST on the topic.  They have been kind enough to invite me to present a contrasting perspective.  There are already over 100 registrants, so the good folk from WCRi have opened up registration to accommodate the demand.

Sign up here.

Webinars are $39 for WCRI members; $79 for non-members; and no charge for members of the press, legislators as well as their staff, and state public officials who make policy decisions impacting their state’s workers’ compensation system.

See you there.