May
16

Market power in managed care – the health plans are winning

One health insurer has at least 30% market share in virtually all of the nation’s major markets. This finding, published in the AMA’s “Competition in Health Insurance; A comprehensive study of US markets”, indicates that the market’s consolidation has resulted in a monopsony wherein there are few buyers (in this case of provider’s services) and many sellers (again, in this case, providers).
The market is even more consolidated than the above statistic indicates; in 56% of the markets studies, one health plan has over 50% market share, and in one of five markets, a single health plan controls over 70% of the market.
This makes for a small group of companies controlling the buying and selling of health care; they have created a monopsony on the buying end and an oligopoly on the selling end.
What does this mean for you?
US health care may be devolving to a not-quite-single payer system; with three plans dominating the marketplace, providers have little control over selling their services, and health plan purchasers have few sources from whom to buy their health insurance.
The health care market does not lend itself to new entrants as barriers to entry are quite high. Provider contracts are required, and without market share, providers won’t give meaningful contracts. And without meaningful contracts, employers won’t sign up.
So new entrants are stuck in a Catch-22. The result – continued market consolidation, leading to fewer options for providers (sellers) and employers (buyers).
While the “market” may be working here, the result is likely unfavorable for both providers and employers. Wealth is indeed being created at the health plan level, but at the expense of their suppliers and customers.
The net is this. Is it acceptable to allow companies to exert this level of control over health care ?


Apr
27

One of ten docs does not accept insurance

Despite the huge influence of managed care and third-party payers in health insurance, about 10% of physicians work on a cash basis, wherein patients pay them directly for services rendered. Most of these docs are in the primary care specialties, where patients place a premium on face-to-face interaction,and where fees are generally manageable for the merely well-to-do.
I would not expect this trend to spread, as many of the more lucrative specialties have a relatively high per-procedure cost, thereby making them unaffordable for most folks without insurance.


Apr
24

Demographics v technology as health care cost drivers

Health Affairs has published an excellent review of the impact of aging on hospital demand, one that any hospital exec or regulator would be well served to study and keep near. The study, authored by the good folk at the Center for the Study of Health System Change, indicates that while the aging population will have a significant impact on inpatient utilization and cost, the impact may well be over-shadowed by changes in technology.
Here’s an example.
Demographic changes will increase the number of cardiovascular admissions by 1.5% annually over the next ten years, as older people are more likely to require treatment for heart attack and chest pain. While that’s a significant change, historically the adoption of angioplasty resulted in a much more dramatic shift in utilization patterns.
Over the ten years following 1993, the number of angioplasties jumped 7% per year. Meanwhile, the number of bypass operations grew only 0.2% per year (a figure lower than that predicted by demographic changes). Angioplasty, a relative new-comer to the cardiovascular treatment scene, appears to have been used instead of the more complicated, expensive, and risky open-heart bypass operation for a portion of the population, and, in addition, was used in many cases where bypass was not likely to be considered.
So, technology not only trumped demographics, it did so in convincing fashion.
What does this mean for you?
While demographic shifts look huge, they may well be overshadowed by changes in technology.


Apr
18

Ambulatory surgery centers – the financial black hole

Colleague and friend Peter Rousmaniere has an excellent column in the latest Risk and Insurance detailing some of the issues with Ambulatory Surgery Centers. To net it out, while they can get patients in quickly, are usually much nicer (in appearance) than hospitals, and can have equivalent outcomes, they are also wicked expensive (that’s my New England accent) , especially in states without an ASC fee schedule.
As a result, payers are increasingly looking to outside expert firms to assist in determining an appropriate reimbursement level. One that is especially adept in this area is Fair Pay Solutions (also an HSA client).


Apr
16

Hospital profits up in Michigan, California

One of the main drivers of health care cost inflation is hospital expense. New information reported in the Detroit News reveals that despite layoffs, a dramatic increase in uncompensated care, and flat inpatient admissions, hospitals throughout the Detroit metro area enjoyed a very profitable 2005. Meanwhile, Sutter Health, the big hospital/health care company on the West Coast, also reported increased profits – $442 million on revenues of $6.7 billion.
The good financials are a result of aggressive cost cutting, an influx of sicker patients requiring more services, and increased reimbursement from private payers.
One item of interest is the huge growth in uncompensated care. According to the News, “uncompensated care reported by the region’s major health systems rose to about $740 million in 2005, up $163 million from 2004.”
My bet is that this rapid growth is due in large part to big increases in billed charges, and not necessarily to more services provided to more folks without insurance. The growth in billed charges is rampant throughout the US, as hospitals seek to offset their “losses” on uncompensated care by cost-shifting to other payers.
What does this mean for you?
If I was in the commercial insurance business I’d watch my hospital expenses really really carefully.


Apr
5

Docs, defensive medicine, and disingenuousness

I’m in my hotel in Salt Lake City (a beautiful place) checking out what fellow bloggers are talking about, and hop over to Over My Med Body to see what Graham is up to. One of his recent posts is about the difference in health care costs in the US and Canada, wherein Graham notes the Canadians are spending about $900 less per person than we are, funds which could go to higher wages, etc.
In the comments section, a physician moans about the problems with rationing inherent up North, and states that no red-blooded American would put up with that, while placing most of the blame for our exorbitant health care costs squarely upon defensiivce medicine.
Which inspired the following rant.
If I hear one more doc complaining about defensive medicine and tort costs I’ll throw them under the wheels of their golf cart. Care is rationed in the US – for the 45 million uninsured, for Medicaid recipients, and for those in staff and group model HMOs as well as anyne who has to comply with precert rules.
This rationing argument is nonsense, not only because have de facto rationing but also because it is a red herring. Canadians, Swiss, Norwegians, and citizens of 33 other countries are healthier than Americans, yet we pay about 50% more than they do.
So the good Dr. Thompson et al are delivering an inferior product and charging much more for it.
Finally, what is wrong with rationing of care? The question is NOT how many MRI machines does Canada have compared to Portland, it is what is the right number of MRI machines? And my bet is many of Portland’s MRI machines are owned by docs, who make money by sending patients there, all the while hiding behind the covers of “defensive medicine”.
And this before the morning caffiene…


Mar
7

UPDATE – Aetna’s WC contracting efforts

An alert reader from Aetna called me to correct what looks like a misinterpretation by several docs in Florida. According to this individual, Aetna’s requirement for med mal is $250,000 per occurence; the million dollar level (mentioned in the original post) is for general liability. This is not what I heard from some of the docs Aetna has been recruiting; looks like there’s a “failure to communicate…”
From sources in the Sunshine State comes news that Aetna is attempting to contract with docs as part of their effort to build a workers’ compensation provider network. The lack of affordable med mal insurance in Florida is well-documented; in some counties docs are “going bare”; working without any med mal coverage at all.


Mar
4

Medical malpractice – fixed or broken?

The medical malpractice insurance business is either back under control and meeting the needs of the market without the benefit of major and widespread tort reform, or is in crisis, near death, and likely to expire without major tort reform.
Where you sit determines what you see.
From consumer watchdog group Americans for Insurance Reform comes the following excerpt from their press release:
“Americans for Insurance Reform (AIR) released a new study today confirming the wholesale decline of medical malpractice insurance rates nationwide. The AIR study also shows that this phenomenon is occurring whether or not states enacted restrictions on patients’ legal rights, such as “caps” on compensation. The medical malpractice insurance “crisis” is over, according to the study.
AIR’s study is based on the most recent Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers survey of market conditions, showing that the average rate hike for doctors over the past six months has been 0 percent. This is following similar results for the last quarter of 2004, which saw rates rising only 3 percent at the end of that year. By comparison, rates jumped 63 percent during the same quarter of 2002. ”
In contrast, the Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers released their own interpretation of the numbers, noting:
“‘ to interpret that data to mean that the ‘crisis’ is over is a gross misrepresentation of the situation,” Crerar said. “First of all, having rates stabilize for one or two quarters doesn’t mean those rates have gone down. It only means that they have not gone up any farther. It is like saying that just because gasoline costs $2.50 a gallon today, down from $3 a gallon last year, we don’t have an energy crisis, and gas is cheap.”
CIAB also finds fault with AIR’s math, and reading CIAB’s interpretation it does appear the Americans for Insurance Reform could do with a little more practice with the calculator.
So, what’s the real deal?
Well, the malpractice “crisis” is partially related to insurance cycles (we’re in a transition from a hard market to a confused one right now), and as I’ve noted before, has a relatively small impact on overall health care costs. While the med mal debate is interesting, it is a sideshow – med mal is not a major force in US health care.
That said, the interesting point is that the drop in rates is occuring in states that implemented tort reform and those that did not. Makes one wonder what influence tort reform has on costs…


Feb
21

Health care quality measures, politics, and dollars

There are lots of moving parts, political agendae, and battling priorities in the pay for performance movement, and it is getting even complicated-er. Today’s announcement by the AMA that it will produce metrics for assessment of physician quality (registration required) is a clear indicator that financial motivations have, at least temporarily, outweighed physicians’ measurement phobia.
There are two distinct but closely related and very powerful forces at work here – one financial and the other political. Financially, the key issue is concern among docs that these “quality indicators” will be used to reduce reimbursement. And that fear is not unfounded. One has to look no further than the latest Federal budget proposal and the annual battle over the mandatory reduction in Medicare physician fees to understand that the phobia has a solid foundation in reality.
Politically, Bush’s pronouncements in favor of consumerism as the solution to the health care cost crisis have painted him into a corner. Critics (myself among them) have noted many problems and challenges (read near insurmountable obstacles) with this approach, chief among them its breathtakingly na


Feb
6

Medical Malpractice – crisis, what crisis?

An excellent review of the realities and myth behind medical malpractice is on Kate Steadman’s Health Policy blog. The series of posts are a sort of book report on Tom Baker’s The Medical Malpractice Myth.
I’ve posted on med mal before, as has Ezra Klein – both using the article published in Health Affairs last year as the basis for the posts. But Kate’s is the best rebuttal of the myth I’ve come across.
What does this mean for you?
Medical malpractice insurance is NOT a meaningful contributor to health cost inflation. Medical errors certainly are – remember to distinguish between the two.