Apr
30

Coventry – a good Q1 2010, but what about the future…

Coventry released its Q1 2010 financials today, and looking at the numbers one would have to be a naysayer to find fault. The company is successfully exiting the Medicare Private Fee for Service business, growing its Medicare, Medicaid, and Part D revenues, and has also seen an increase in commercial membership.
From a financial perspective, earnings are on a solid path and guidance is up over previous numbers. Medical Loss Ratios are well under control across all products, reserve development has been positive, enrollment in governmental programs is strong, and commercial membership is up by a bit.
While one would think it’s all good, I’m less sanguine.
Commercial membership was up due to an acquisition in Kansas, a region of growing interest at Coventry. Same store growth was actually negative by 20,000 members – not surprising given the economy, but nonetheless something to watch.
MLRs are being ‘managed’ more by rate increases than by ‘managing’ the medical; while Chairman and CEO Allen Wise talked a bit about the need to be the low cost provider, there wasn’t much – if any – discussion of exactly how Coventry was going to do this beyond identifying good providers and narrowing their networks to focus on those providers.
That’s all well and good, but any health plan can figure out who the ‘good’ providers are and strike a deal, and many of Coventry’s competitors are quite a bit larger, have lots more members, and therefore have greater leverage.
The skills, assets, and capabilities a health plan will need to survive and prosper in the future are fundamentally different from those that Coventry has deployed so adroitly in the last few quarters. Successful healthplans will be those with:
– market share that enables them to negotiate from a position of strength in each geographic market
– a strong, positive brand image in the employer and individual sectors
– skill and deep knowledge in medical management, including data mining and especially chronic care management
Less successful healthplans will:
– not be among the market leaders in their geographic targets
– have long and highly successful traditions of risk selection and underwriting, attributes that are of far less importance in the brave new post-reform world
– be late to the medical management party, with a culture more akin to the old indemnity insurance companies than a true Health Maintenance Organization.
When you step back and look at what’s made Coventry’s resurgence possible, it’s fairly simple – getting out of unprofitable businesses, risk selection and underwriting, careful management of the Medical Loss Ratio through pricing.
All valuable and necessary, but not nearly as important in the future as brand, share, and medical management


So what’s the future hold for Coventry?

Corporate culture is brutally hard to change, and Coventry’s culture is built on risk selection, tough price negotiation with providers, and an intense focus on the numbers. While one would think these are assets in any market and some of those skills are indeed critical in any market, some will actually be counterproductive in the post-reform world.
Despite what Coventry’s leadership says, and I’m sure believes, Coventry is not now, and will never be, the low cost supplier in most of their markets – they just don’t have the negotiating leverage with providers. In the past this was OK; what they didn’t have in buying power they more than compensated for with admirable skill in risk selection.
Coventry appears to be working closely with Wichita Kansas health care system Via Christi; owners of the HMO just bought by Coventry, and the provider for a new Medicare Advantage product offered by Coventry as well. If Coventry is going to be successful they are going to have to build lots of similar relationships fairly quickly. I would be remiss if I didn’t note that Coventry’s HMO/PPO share in the state is second (at 19%) to the Blues at 37%.
That skill will be of very little value in the future.


Apr
29

Where the work comp world is heading – Part 1

Big changes are in store for work comp, changes brought on by a much-altered economy, health reform, technological leaps, health care provider behavior, governmental influences, budgetary shifts, and demographics.
Driving home from RIMS yesterday, I was struggling to come up with a way of explaining what’s coming in a way that captured where we are today and what the next few years will look like. Fried after three days of nonstop meetings, I flipped on the stereo and there was the answer.
I’d been listening to a book-on-CD entitled ‘1421, The Year China Discovered the World’ by Gavin Menzies. An amazing read (or more properly listen), Menzies spent years reconstructing data from sources around the world, data that build a compelling (and controversial) case for his contention that huge Chinese treasure fleets comprised of hundreds of massive ships circumnavigated the globe seventy years before Europeans got in their tiny ships to sail to the Americas.
According to Menzies, the Chinese built a huge treasure fleet, far more sophisticated and capable than anything the West could even contemplate, and set forth to chart the world’s oceans and continents. They knew a lot about navigation, but there were big gaps in that knowledge. They also had little information about what they would find as they sailed thousands of miles from their home waters.
arch_cargoanim.jpg
Their ships, square-rigged and large beyond comprehension for the time, could only sail before the wind, thus they were forced to go where prevailing winds and currents took them. China’s admirals, many of whom were brilliant navigators and leaders, had some charts from previous expeditions and well-built ships designed specifically for years’ long voyages; but by the very nature of their task they were indeed venturing into uncharted waters.
The parallels are certainly clear.
Work comp payers and vendors can’t do what macro influences, the law and the markets don’t allow – at least not for long. We can trim our sails, keep a sharp lookout, carefully question those who have some knowledge about where we appear to be heading, and plan and practice what we’ll do as we come across new challenges and perils.
What we can’t do is stay in the harbor. Like it or not, we’re on the seas heading for places we know not.
Over the next few days I’ll draw more parallels (for nautically inclined readers, pun intended) and climb to the highest crow’s nest to peer ahead.
(Note – Menzies has been severely criticized for some of his methods and conclusions; nonetheless there is ample evidence that Chinese sailors made their way to Africa and many other destinations thousands of miles from their home ports)


Apr
25

RIMS – the first day

I’m going to try something relatively new for this conference: using Twitter to do mini posts a few times a day. You can sign up at Twitter.com for my feed, which is labeled mysteriously as Paduda.
It’s a brutal day of meetings tomorrow. We’ll see if I can keep up and the iPhone battery has enough juice.
Used a good bit of the battery taking pictures at Fenway today on a perfect day for baseball. Thanks to an invite from Medata I was able to start the conference put on the right foot; it’s not every day you get to talk one-on-one with Dennis Eckersley about Roger Clemens, umpires, the National League, and why Mariano Rivera is so damn good.
Almost as much fun as workers comp. Almost.


Apr
23

The comp industry spends millions on utilization review – certifying a procedure, hospital stay, therapy, or treatment as ‘necessary’ – or not. What most payers don’t realize, or, more correctly, probably realize and don’t discuss, is the reality that their UR systems are not linked to bill review platforms, so if the procedure/therapy/treatment is delivered and billed, in far too many cases it is paid.
That’s not to say payers don’t spend a lot of time, resource, and effort trying to link UR and BR, but the ‘link’ is largely manual, requiring bill review processors to stop what they’re doing, look at (in many instances) a different software application or database, interpret the free form text, and manually enter payment recommendations and explanation codes.
Which is a waste not only of administrative effort, but medical dollars as well.
I’d long heard about this, and seen it in many of the audits of managed care programs my firm conducted, but until I surveyed most of the largest payers in the nation last year I didn’t fully grasp how pervasive this is. (if you want a copy of the survey do not leave a comment to this post, rather email infoAThealthstrategyassocDOTcom)
The problem
The current challenge facing all bill review application vendors is a limited ability to interface with UR software products in general. Most UR software platforms capture their decisions in a narrative form, in text or free-form fields. Therein lies the problem; UR decisions must be capable of being placed in a file format that computers can recognize. Moreover, each payer has their own unique approach, set of UR guidelines, interpretation of state UR rules, and customer requirements, making the integration of bill review and UR doubly difficult.
Potential solutions
Now two bill review companies are working to address that problem. Mitchell, which markets the SmartAdviser application, will be releasing an internally-developed service, entitled Utilization Review Decision Manager, that is designed to automate the feed of utilization review determinations. The idea is to enable customers to auto-adjudicate bills and individual services that up till now people had to research and authorize manually. The new app is slated to be on the market in July of this year; it is currently about to enter the testing phase. That’s a very tight timetable, but SmartAdviser’s General Manager Nina Smith advised me in a call yesterday that Mitchell is committed to hitting the date.
The app, which is ‘enabled’ by SmartAdviser’s Capstone business rules engine, uses a proprietary approach to group procedure codes into a treatment group according to diagnosis, the idea being approval of a carpal tunnel release includes ‘approval’ of related services – facility charges, PT, anesthesia, etc. Mitchell expects the app to increase ‘throughput’ (bills not touched by a reviewer) by about 17%.
Competitor Medata implemented their solution about a year ago; according to Cy King, Medata’s CEO, the company rolled it out with a very large retail client who is quite pleased with the results. So far, client savings have increased from 5% – 7% depending on the month. Components of the solution are provided by Datacare through their Bill Zee product.
King reported that Medata is currently working on several additional implementations.
I’d note that it is entirely possible the other bill review vendors (CompIQ, Stratacare Coventry) offer similar UR-integration functionality, but at least as of last summer, no one was using them. If this is of interest, you can ask them at RIMS next week in Boston.
What does this mean for you?

Hopefully more efficiency and lower medical expense. Hopefully.


Apr
23

Providers to avoid – a handy list

I posted on the growing problem of hospital costs in California a few days ago, and since then I’ve been working on a project to identify facilities to include – and exclude – from its MPN (California’s version of a certified work comp provider network)
It’s sometimes tough to tell which facilities are the ones to steer injured workers away from, and it’s even tougher to convince the treating physician to make a change.
Fortunately, some providers in California have decided it’s time to fess up, providing payers not only their names, but clear evidence on why they shouldn’t be treating work comp patients.
The list, available here (thanks to WorkCompCentral for the head’s up), identifies the hospital outpatient and ambulatory surgery centers that have opted to be paid as ‘outliers’. That is, these facilities don’t want to be paid based on the fee schedule’s standard 1.22 times the Medicare rate on all cases. Instead, they have notified payers that they are to be paid 1.20 times the Medicare rate on all cases plus an additional payment for specific outlier cases.
Fortunately, there aren’t that many providers on the list – probably less than fifty.
Even more fortunate, the good folks at California’s Division of Workers Comp have published each facility’s cost-to-charge ratio. Simply put, this is a comparison of what it costs the facility to deliver the service to what it charges payers for that service (on average). So, the lower the cost to charge ratio, the higher the charge in relation to what it actually costs to deliver the care.
There are some rather stunning revelations on the thankfully-brief list of ‘outliers’.
For example. The Long Beach Pain Center Medical Clinic, Inc. has a cost to charge ratio of .20. That means they charge payers five times what it costs to deliver the service. And they aren’t the…most ambitious.
There are seven (7) providers that charge more than five times costs, with two charging more than nine times costs. (Midway Hospital Medical Center and John F. Kennedy Memorial)
More information
This isn’t the only resource for payers trying to find out which providers charge ‘reasonably’ and which ones less so. For more background, CDC is an excellent resource with lots of information written in laymen’s terms; they also publish the average state cost to charge data here.
Our friends at HHS publish a variety of reports that help payers determine provider efficiency, here’s one for inpatient admissions (covers all states and all providers). Many states publish similar data; here’s Kentucky‘s,
Before I get flamed by providers telling me how their costs charges are justified because they only treat really sick patients or the cost evaluation isn’t fair or their treatment is just soooo much better, I’ll freely admit that cost is only part of the cost-benefit equation, and reasonable folks would argue it’s unfair to look at one without the other.
True. And as soon as these providers show exactly why they’re worth the added cost, we’ll consider their evidence.


Apr
22

RIMS – what’s in store in Boston

Many readers are undoubtedly getting ready for next week’s annual Risk Insurance and Management Society annual meeting, held this year (conveniently enough) in Boston.
For most, ‘preparing’ means buying gel insoles, making sure the extra-think padding has been ordered for the booth, confirming appointments and hoping the notoriously changeable Boston weather doesn’t bring snow sleet freezing rain or all of the above.
Beyond the obvious, here’s a few things to look for at the annual confab.
1. The new thing. A few years ago it was pharmacy benefit management, back in 2002 it was emergency preparedness, a couple years back data mining was big. As to what’s going to be the buzz of the show, it’s anyone’s guess. It most likely won’t be a big transaction or venture; the Sedgwick deal is public, the Bunch sale is in limbo, and a couple others aren’t ready for public display just yet. Product launch? It will have to be a BIG deal. New customer? Again, it best be BIG to be ‘the’ thing.
2. Excitement, or at least a pulse, among the TPAs. This is admittedly hyperbole, but after the last few years, it’s a bit surprising there are any TPAs left. There are some indications the TPA business is picking up; reports are that more currently-insured, larger employers are looking intently at self-insurance. This is anecdotal, but encouraging nonetheless.
3. New network offerings. Healthcare Solutions (formerly Cypress Care and Procura) are reportedly making significant inroads in the payer market, offering access to the Aetna WC and MagnaCare networks and generating lots of interest among payers. Expect that their competitors will also be announcing expansions, multiple network offerings, and carve-out products to meet a growing demand for ‘non-me-too’ provider networks.
4. Investor interest is high. Expect to see even more venture capital folks/private equity investors/bankers on the floor, at the bar, and dining out this year than in the past. Interest appears to be pretty significant in work comp in specific and claims/P&C in general, as the smart people who work for investment firms continue to try to figure out why this business is so…backward? Inefficient?
5. Potential employees. I’ve always advised clients searching for sales talent to go to the shows, walk around later in the day/week, and find the booth staffers that are not sitting down, thumbs flying over their blackberries, yawning away, but on their feet, asking questions, listening hard, and doing their best to ignore their boredom and sore feet and backs and represent their company, and themselves, professionally.
See you there.


Apr
21

The Sedgwick sale; What’s the deal?

Yesterday’s announcement that Sedgwick, the giant TPA, is about to be sold marks the end of a months-long process that has implications well beyond the sale of one company.
For starters, it’s good news for the TPA industry. Well, sort of.
The financials of the transaction are undoubtedly welcomed by the sellers, and on a broader scale, a positive sign for a work comp TPA industry that has been hammered by a long soft market and deep recession that has dramatically reduced claim volume. (TPAs typically are paid on a per-claim basis so fewer claims = lower revenues). The deal is a complex one, as Sedgwick has been owned by a consortium of several entities, and is being sold to another group of buyers. Primary owner Fidelity National will book $95 million in profit on the deal, and other owners, which includes health plan giant United HealthGroup, will likely enjoy similar gains.
The multiple looks to be about 5x earnings, which seems pretty solid given the industry (P&C claims and related services) although low compared to other recent deals (OneCall Medical, Fairpay Solutions). However, the OCM and FPS deals were fundamentally different transactions so comparisons aren’t appropriate. Sedgwick had almost $700 million in revenue back in 2008 and just a tad higher last year. My guess is that number will increase rather dramatically for 2010, largely due to new business and more revenue from existing customers.
And therein lies the tale.
There are two other realities that bear consideration. Both appear related to the sale process and the company’s operations going forward.
Some months, perhaps a year ago, word began to circulate among managed care vendors that Sedgwick was asking vendors to pay fees or commissions to the TPA if they wanted to provide services to Sedgwick clients. This practice is quite common in the comp world and if anything has become more prevalent of late as TPAs, hard-pressed by the soft market and declining claims fees, have looked high and low for other sources of revenue.
The issue lies in disclosure. As long as the TPA’s customers are aware of and agree to the arrangement it’s all good. Without clear and complete disclosure of the entirety of the financial relationship between the TPA and managed care (and other) service providers, customers may be unaware of the true ‘cost’ of their program and the reasons behind the selection of specific vendors. I don’t pretend to know the details of Sedgwick’s financial arrangements with each customer; I would expect Sedgwick has disclosed the nature and extent of these relationships to affected customers.
More recently, Sedgwick has brought on several new, very large customers, making it one of the rare claims organizations that has actually grown significantly. Word from several sources is Sedgwick’s sales approach has been, in a word, aggressive, especially in the area of price. With admin fees already close to an all-time low due to market pressures, Sedgwick’s uber-aggressive pricing is, according to several competitors, well under break-even. (this goes beyond complaints by disgruntled/frustrated competitors; these reports are from people who have been around long enough to be well past whining about lost business)
The implications are simple – did Sedgwick ‘buy’ business, or has it developed a more efficient, profitable model that enables it to under-price the competition while delivering service levels that are equal to those offered by the competition.
Regardless, TPA pricing and margins are not going to recover anytime soon. Therefore I’ll take back my opening statement; this will mean more adverse winds for TPA operators.
What does this mean for you?
My bet is the new owners, primarily private equity firms, are looking for Sedgwick to continue growing; they have a heavy debt burden (more than half of the deal is debt-financed).
Look for Sedgwick to be just-as-if-not-more competitive in the market tomorrow then it has been for the last six months.


Apr
20

Will occupational disease be ‘Federalized’?

Noted work comp attorney Jon Gelman has an excellent post on one of the heretofore lesser known provisions of the Health Reform bill – the ‘Libby Care’ amendment. A quick read may lead some to think that the Feds are just about ready to take over handling of occupational diseases.
The provision Gelman is referring to is in Section 10323, Medicare Coverage for Individuals Exposed to Environmental Health Hazards, 2009 Cong US HR 3590, [this takes you to the entire bill and is a long download, the relevant Amendment is on page 111th Congress, 1st Session (December 31, 2009).
A more careful read produces a somewhat different conclusion; this looks to be a one-time fix to a specific ‘problem’. That’s not to say that the work comp industry has done a good, or even passable, job in addressing occupational disease, but the Libby Care Amendment isn’t an attempt to Federalize management and treatment of occupational disease. Color me a cynic if you will, but my sense is the Manager’s Amendment isn’t so much the ‘camel’s nose under the tent’ as a political move by Sen Baucus (D MT) to curry favor and win votes; the Amendment is specific to an environmental disaster in Libby, Montana.
Here’s why.
1. The Amendment requires a site be designated a “Public Health Emergency” by the Secretary of HHS. To date, Libby is the only site so designated.
2. The provision covers care for all affected residents and employees, not just workers. This is clearly far beyond ‘occupational’ and is much more of a public health issue than a work comp one.
3. Care is to be delivered through the Medicare system. This will require allocation of additional funding for each new site, something a cash-strapped CMS is unlikely to encourage.
I’d encourage readers to review Gelman’s piece in its entirety; Jon knows of what he writes and has done a credible job in identifying and analyzing this important issue.
What does this mean for you?
Likely increased attention for occupational disease, and over time, a push by CMS to ensure those responsible pay for the associated cost.


Apr
19

Hilarious health reform mis-information

Ok. I’m not exactly what one would call a ‘fan’ of the health reform bill – too much coverage, not near enough cost control. There are plenty of issues with the current bill, more than enough to make serious students/wonks concerned without having to resort to outright lies.
Yet that is precisely what some are doing. Here, collected for your reading pleasure by the good folks at FactCheck.com, are the top nine falsehoods perpetrated by those not smart enough to focus on the real issues.
* Requires patients to be implanted with microchips. (No, it doesn’t.)
* Cuts benefits for military families and retirees. (No. The TRICARE program isn’t affected.)
* Exempts Muslims from the requirement to obtain coverage. (Not specifically. It does have a religious exemption, but that is intended for Old Order Amish.)
* Allows insurance companies to continue denying coverage to children with preexisting conditions. (Insurance companies have agreed not to exploit a loophole that might have allowed this.)
* Will require 16,500 armed IRS agents to enforce. (No. Criminal penalties are waived.)
* Gives President Obama a Nazi-like “private army.” (No. It provides a reserve corps of doctors and other health workers for emergencies.)
* “Exempts” House and Senate members. (No. Their coverage may not be as good as before, in fact.)
* Covers erectile-dysfunction drugs for sex offenders. (Just as it was before the new law, those no longer in jail can buy any insurance plan they choose.)
* Provides federal funding for abortions. (Not directly. But neither side in the abortion debate is happy with the law.)
Here’s the detail on a couple of the more ludicrous issues (quoting FactCheck.
Does the law provide for armed IRS agents to enforce penalties?
No. This is a fantasy. GOP lawmakers claim the law might require “as many as 16,500” new jobs in the IRS, a figure inflated by dubious assumptions. But the agency’s role will be mainly to hand out tax credits, not to enforce penalties. And the IRS won’t be sending armed agents to enforce the health care mandate, as falsely claimed by Texas GOP Rep. Ron Paul. The law specifically waives any criminal penalties for those who both decline to obtain insurance coverage and refuse to pay the tax enacted to penalize lack of coverage.

And here’s this whopper, which was ‘reported by a number of wingnut sites, including ‘last days’ crazies. and from this firearms advocacy site.
Will the law require all patients to be implanted with microchips?
No. Nothing like this appears in the new law, or in any of the bills that Congress considered. This claim stems from a wild misinterpretation of a provision in the original House leadership’s bill (H.R. 3200) that did not require implantation of anything, and that was, in any case, not part of the final legislation. The part of the original House leadership’s bill that’s usually referenced to support this rather paranoid claim actually would have set up a registry for class III medical devices and class II devices that are “implantable, life-supporting, or life-sustaining.”
jeez, would someone buy these people a clue…


Apr
16

Hospital costs in California – the tide has turned

Health Affairs’ most recent edition includes a piece [sub req] on the changing health care landscape in California, one that now has hospitals occupying the high ground. The historical background is telling;
too many hospitals to begin led to tough bargaining by insurers,
which dramatically reduced hospital revenues and profits,
followed by consolidation, hospital closings, and reduction in capacity,
leading to a shift in market power as insurers, needing coverage in key areas,
were forced to agree to ever-higher rates,
pushing hospital costs, revenues, and profits back up.
Here are a couple excerpts from the article.
“In current health reform discussions and proposed legislation, providers’ growing market power to negotiate higher payment rates from private insurers [emphasis added] is the “elephant in the room” that is rarely mentioned. Here, in our study of the current negotiating environment in California, we explain that growing market power for providers caused a shift that gave providers a stronger bargaining position [emphasis added] over health plans, leading in turn to higher insurance premiums…
A recent study has shown that in California, after a downward trend in hospital prices for private-pay patients in the 1990s, a rapid upward trend began about 1999 that produced average annual increases of 10.6 percent over the period 1999-2005 [emphasis added]. The study’s authors concluded that the source of the near-doubling of California hospital prices remains “something of a mystery.”5
Analysis of Medicare Cost Report data by the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC), although national, shows that inpatient costs per admission increased only 5.5 percent per year during that period.”
The net is this – hospitals’ market power enabled them to raise prices by 10.6% while their costs only went up about half that fast.
This is meaningful on many levels.
1. If you operate in California, your facility costs are trending higher quickly.
2. Reimbursement is but one part of the contracting process; hospitals will, and are, using their leverage to squeeze other concessions out of payers, including faster bill payment, reductions in the UR burden, and speedy resolution of disputes.
3. California is leading a trend that will be felt in many other states, and soon.
4. Those payers with the ‘loosest’ contracts, particularly those based on a percentage off charges, are going to get hammered. And those with contracts that are only slightly better are no better off.
I’d add that the article also addresses the growing power of larger physician groups, whose negotiating leverage is evolving along similar lines. More on that in a future post.
What does this mean for you?
Big health plans are at the mercy of hospitals, so costs are going to go up. For workers comp payers, the picture is even worse. Your best bet is to keep injured workers out of hospitals.
Then again, you can always just raise rates…