Insight, analysis & opinion from Joe Paduda

Sep
21

First Health search for work comp executive

Sources indicate Coventry is still seeking a leader for the workers compensation business at First Health, although they have assigned the task to an outside search firm after their internal recruiters came up empty.
Spencer Stuart’s Chicago office is handling the search. Spencer is an interesting choice as the firm is not known as a major player in staffing for the managed care, health insurance, or HMO sectors. They are using their own internal resources, bolstered by a list from Coventry of individuals that have been vetted and found wanting. While this may help reduce the number of false negatives Spencer encounters, the firm may also encounter difficulty filling the slot if Coventry allows First Health’s present customers to weigh in on the decision.
Several sources have indicated that Coventry has asked present customers their opinions of previous candidates, and these opinions have had an impact on the company’s selection process.
In any event, given the significant profit contribution of the work comp business (11% of Coventry’s net comes from work comp) this is a key hire. And the fact that they have been looking since February with no apparent success demonstrates the difficulty inherent in finding a candidate who understands the HMO industry, knows workers comp, has a solid reputation among First Health customers, and can lead a customer-service-challenged company forward.
What does this mean for you?
Either very little or quite a lot.


Sep
21

Medical cost inflation in workers comp

The cost of workplace injuries in the US topped $50 billion in 2003, despite a 6.3% drop in the injury rate. These results continue a long-running trend of declining frequency that is more than offset by medical inflation.
The often-asked question is how can this be? If the number of injuries is dropping, how can total costs be increasing? While it appears that the severity of injuries may be increasing, that is actually a proxy for medical costs (the workers’ comp research firms equate severity with higher medical expense). The culprit is medical inflation, and more specifically increased utilization of medical services.
There are fee schedules in about half the states (most of the larger ones) that do a pretty good job of constraining price increases. With rates pegged to Medicare’s fee schedule, prices for most physician and outpatient services are under control. Unfortunately, that’s only part of the problem – the other two drivers are the percentage of claims that have a particular type of medical expense, and the volume of services per claim.
As an example, physical therapy occurs in about 26% of cases with lost time. However, given there are few treatment guidelines that are helpful in managing PT, and the propensity for therapists to overutilize, PT costs appear to be growing significantly. Without objective clinical guidelines to ensure the volume and specific treatment modalities are appropriate, work comp payers are essentially unable to constrain the delivery of PT.
The result – a recent analysis conducted by my firm, Health Strategy Associates, showed that over 55% of lost time cases treated at a national occupational medicine company had PT services. Sure, the price per service was low, and the average number of visits was quite low, but there is no doubt many of the patients receiving PT did not need it.
The work comp market is recognizing the extent and cost of the problem; MedRisk, a firm that specializes in managing physical medicine in workers comp has seen explosive growth, and now manages PT on a national basis for carriers and TPAs including Liberty Mutual, Zurich, ACE, Sedgwick, Gallagher-Bassett, and Amerisafe. (MedRisk is a consulting client.)
And physical therapy is but one example of a medical service that is a key driver of medical inflation. With work comp medical expenses trending up at double-digit rates, payers are finally beginning to adopt intelligent strategies that are specific to the key drivers of inflation.
What does this mean for you?
If you are a work comp payer and have yet to adopt a “specialty managed care strategy”, your medical inflation rates are likely higher than your competitors’. If you don’t get costs under control, you will not be a payer much longer.


Sep
20

Medicare cost inflation driven by utilization

Medicare Part B premiums will increase 13.2% next year due to rapid growth in physician office visits, lab tests, and outpatient hospital expenses. The average monthly premium will jump $10.30 to $88.50 for Part B, which covers physician charges and some outpatient hospital expenses.
Deductibles will also increase, although CMS is claiming that many beneficiaries will actually see lower total costs due to the implementation of the Part D program that covers prescription drug.
What’s driving these increases?
On the surface, program costs and Medicare regulations. By law, beneficiaries have to pay 25%, with the rest of the costs borne by the taxpayers.
Looking just a bit deeper, utilization is the culprit. Medicare fixes physician prices at the RBRVS-based fee schedule, therefore by definition increases of this magnitude have to be driven by higher usage of services. Physician services were up 6.3% last year, are trending at 5.3% this year, and outpatient hospital increases are similar.
Some physicians have been claiming that the increases are due to higher quality care, better diagnostics, and treatments in an outpatient setting that are cheaper and more efficacious than the “old” inpatient protocols.
Regardless, the net is that taxpayers and beneficiaries are paying more for coverage.
Complicating the matter is the pending 4.3% decrease in the fee schedule slated to go into effect on 1/1/06. If Congress reverses the cut, then 2007 premium and deductible increases will be even higher than projected.
If they don’t, a lot of docs are going to be mighty upset.
What does this mean for you?
If there was ever an example of how price fixing does not manage expense, here it is. No payer does a better job of controlling the price per unit than CMS. And their expenses are still increasing at unsustainable levels.
It’s about utilization.


Sep
19

Forces for health care reform

I have held that reform of the US health care system will not occur until a meaningful number of middle-class voters lose coverage, causing them to focus on health care availability, price, and access. Bob Laszewski of Health Policy and Strategy Associates is of the opinion that large employers will be the force behind any real health care reform.
I have too much respect for Bob to disagree with his views, and in any event it appears both events are now occurring.
California HealthLine reported on last week’s health care summit in Washington DC, where business leaders and elected officials gathered together to decry the cost of health care and access issues, and discuss potential solutions. Not much new here, expect that Starbuck’s, Pitney Bowes, Costco, Honeywell and Verizon were all in attendance along with several senators and governors. It is indeed good news that there is more dialogue, but the key message here is the combined meeting of business leaders and elected officials. While the public musings and declarations are helpful, it is likely that the executives were even more forceful in their private conversations with the politicos.
I can envision a moment before the recorders were turned on when Pitney Bowes (headquartered in Connecticut) execs were telling elected officials about the impact of health care costs on their business call centers, and more specifically about cost-benefit evaluations that indicate off-shoring these functions is starting to look more appealing, in large part due to health care costs.
Verizon and Honeywell’s representatives looked on, nodding in agreement, while the politicians adopted the “deer in the headlights” look associated with fear of lost jobs and votes.
Meanwhile, the number of employers offering health insurance declined from 69% in 2000 to 60% in 2005.
73% of the employers not offering coverage said high insurance costs were very important in their decision to not offer insurance.
Interestingly, only 16% of employers believe consumer-directed health plans (CDHPs) are “very effective” in lowering insurance costs. Even more telling, this was the highest score given to any cost-containment strategy.
Clearly, employers are giving up on health insurance because they can’t afford it, and don’t see any promising approaches on the horizon that will make any appreciable difference.
What does this mean for you?
Large employers, small employers, and employees are all paying a lot of attention to health care coverage and cost. The stars are not yet in alignment, but are certainly moving closer to the point where the momentum behind real health care reform will become irresistible.


Sep
16

Eight more indicted by Spitzer in insurance probe

For those who thought New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer’s investigation into the insurance industry was fading away, the news that eight former Marsh executives have been indicted on various charges served notice that if anything, Spitzer et al are just now hitting their stride.
According to Insurance Journal;
“The former executives are accused of colluding with executives at leading insurance companies to arrange noncompetitive bids and conveying these bids to Marsh clients under false pretenses


Sep
15

Katrina’s impact on health care reform measures

Katrina and the federal government’s reaction to same will put Medicaid reform and other health care measures on the back burner for the foreseeable future. And, two of the key Senators on the Senate Finance Committee charged with finding $10 billion in reductions in Medicaid over the next five years have come out against the cuts.
Is an article in California HealthLine, Sen. Gordon Smith (R) was quoted in a letter to the chairman of the committee:
“Smith said, “I do want to reform Medicaid. But this is not the time to take on Medicaid, nor other entitlements for the poor. … To do it now is counterproductive and insensitive.”
In addition, Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.), House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), Sen. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) and Rep. John Spratt (D-S.C.) on Wednesday in a separate letter asked Republican leaders to focus on Hurricane Katrina-related legislation instead of the planned agenda. They wrote, “Under the present circumstances, we believe it would be misguided to proceed with fast-track consideration of legislation that would place at risk services to those in need and divert resources that are necessary to fund the federal response to this tragedy.”
Katrina may well impact state Medicaid budgets as well, with the storm’s victims seeking medical care for acute and chronic conditions from the storm.
More to come.


Sep
14

Medicare physician reimbursement cuts

The latest news from Washington indicates the cut in Medicare reimbursement scheduled to go into effect on 1/1/06 may actually occur. The reduction of 4.3% is a hot topic amongst physicians, many of whom are claiming they will not continue to treat Medicare patients if the cuts go through.
Two of the key Senators on the Finance Committee (which has jurisdiction over CMS) have stated their desire to rescind the cuts. According to Congressional Quarterly, “Sen. Max Baucus (D-Mont.) said he and Senate Finance Committee Chair Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) are “not going to let those cuts go into effect this year”.
The fate of the proposed fee reduction will not just affect Medicare. Many group health and HMO reimbursement arrangements as well as states’ workers compensation fee schedules are based on Medicare.
Yet more evidence that when CMS gets a chill, the rest of the health care payers catch a cold.
What does this mean for you?
Keep an eye on Congress’ actions, or lack thereof, on this reduction. Regardless of the action taken or not, it will affect health care payers’ bottom lines.


Sep
13

Aetna Workers Comp leader search

Aetna’s workers comp managed care entity (Aetna Workers’ Compensation Advantage, or AWCA) is looking internally for a new leader to replace recently departed Robyn Walsh. Walsh retired from Aetna recently, joining several other senior execs in taking advantage of the vesting and retirement plan.
Sources indicate that Aetna’s search is concentrating on internal staff. While this is admirable, it is also somewhat curious. Aetna got out of the workers compensation business several years ago when it sold its P&C business to the Travelers. With one or two exceptions, most of the AWCA staff have very limited WC experience. Industry knowledge is critical in workers comp, both to build a credible product and to speak credibly to potential customers.
With the very limited success enjoyed by AWCA to date, I wonder if their internal push is more out of necessity than desire. It is indeed difficult to see how this venture has been able to survive as long as it has with one customer in a single state. Perhaps Aetna does not believe it will be able to attract outside talent, and therefore is concentrating its search internally.
On the other hand, given Coventry’s lack of success in finding a leader for its First Health WC subsidiary, perhaps Aetna is just being smart. Perhaps.
Other sources indicate Aetna made several runs at a workers comp pharmacy benefit management firm earlier this year.
This is another head scratcher. Most WC PBMs are independent; buyers do not see much synergy between regular medical networks and PBMs; and given the dollars on the table, there would have been better, more strategic places for Aetna to invest.
What does this mean for you?
Keep an eye on Aetna, and if you are interested in contracting with them, make sure you are contractually protected if they exit the business.


Sep
11

Katrina’s insured losses

Katrina’s impact on the insurance industry will be greater than first anticipated. With insured losses now estimated to be in the $30 billion to $60 billion range, this hurricane is the most expensive event in insurance history.
Losses are from wind, flood, and fire, and will certainly include property, business interruption, fire, flood, environmental liability and impairment, crime, life, and health. The latest estimates from Risk Management Solutions are for losses of $15 – $25 billion for the New Orleans flood alone, with the rest of the costs for other losses due to other causes.
The impact of Katrina will be felt in all lines of insurance around the globe. Because a substantial portion of the losses will be borne by reinsurers, excess premium rates will increase to help cover costs while availability will decrease. In turn, primary insurers will have to raise rates to cover their losses and the increased reinsurance premiums.
Fortunately, Katrina came at a time when overall property and casualty insurance rates have been decreasing. According to MarketScout, property insurance rates dropped 7% over the last year, while workers’ comp rates decreased 7%, inland marine 5%, and umbrella/excess 11%. Overall, P&C rates were down 6% over the prior year.
Predictions in the industry are for rates to stay level if not increase slightly. The good news for insurance buyers is the industry is quite healthy with solid profits and substantial increases in reserves over the last two years.
While the insurance industry is much maligned, events like Katrina clearly demonstrate the industry’s value to society. By spreading risk across a very wide customer base, the industry will be able to cover losses while continuing to provide coverage for those who desire insurance.
What does this mean for you?
As devastating as Katrina has been and will continue to be, the insurance industry has weathered this most devastating of storms, and will come through in fine shape. That is good news.


Sep
8

Medicare Part D participating plans

Medicare’s Part D program is gaining momentum with several large for-profit health plans expanding on their plans to offer the program to seniors. Among the plans, Aetna, United Health Group, and Cigna are launching programs nationally, with Humana doing so in over 40 states.
According to the Detroit Free Press,
“Goldman Sachs projects that nearly 17.5 million seniors — about 41% of those eligible to participate — will enroll in the drug plan in 2006….Participating seniors will spend an average $792 for prescription drugs in 2006, excluding premiums, or 37% less than the $1,257 cost without the benefit, according to a July 2004 report by the Congressional Budget Office.”
That begs the question – why won’t the other 59% enroll? The reason is simple – their premiums will be higher than the anticipated costs. Thus, the seniors that will join up will be those who will financially benefit, and the ones who won’t see savings won’t enroll.
Doesn’t sound like a money maker for the PBMs, unless their losses are subsidized by Uncle Sam.
I still can’t figure out what makes this so attractive to private health plans.
Anyone?


Joe Paduda is the principal of Health Strategy Associates

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A national consulting firm specializing in managed care for workers’ compensation, group health and auto, and health care cost containment. We serve insurers, employers and health care providers.

 

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